Chiefs vs. Chargers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7) over the Los Angeles Chargers (2-1). The Chiefs have won three games straight. An over/under of 41 points has been set for the matchup.

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Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Chargers Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2024, 12:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-7	-115	-105	41	-112	-108

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chargers (+7)
Pick OU: Under (41)
Prediction: Chargers 20 - Chiefs 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Los Angeles

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Inglewood, California
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Chargers Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head bouts, Kansas City has beaten Los Angeles five times.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has scored 135 points, while Los Angeles has posted 108.

Kansas City Betting Info

So far this season Kansas City has two victories against the spread.
Kansas City games this year have hit the over on two of three set point totals (66.7%).
The Chiefs were the moneyline favorite three times this season, and won each of those games.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 77.3%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	211.7 (635)	12
Rush yards	116.3 (349)	15
Points scored	25.0 (75)	7
Pass yards against	247.3 (742)	28
Rush yards against	113.7 (341)	13
Points allowed	20.7 (62)	15

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 659 passing yards, five touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He has completed 69.6% of his passes, averaging 219.7 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
He has tacked on 49 rushing yards (16.3 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
Rashee Rice has 24 receptions (third in the NFL) for 288 yards (fourth in the NFL) and two TDs. Through three games, he is averaging 8.0 catches and 96.0 yards per game.
Xavier Worthy has one touchdown catch this season, and has six receptions for 81 yards on 11 targets, while averaging 2.0 catches and 27.0 yards per game.
Carson Steele has rushed for 99 yards without a TD on the ground (33.0 yards per game through three games).

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Chamarri Conner has 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2024.
Nick Bolton has 22 tackles and 4.0 TFL this season.
Jaylen Watson has totaled 21 tackles this year. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
So far this season, Bryan Cook has 19 tackles.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles has covered the spread twice in three games with a set number.
Games involving Los Angeles have yet to hit the over once this season.
The Chargers lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The Chargers have a 27.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	125.0 (375)	31
Rush yards	152.0 (456)	7
Points scored	19.3 (58)	18
Pass yards against	175.3 (526)	10
Rush yards against	91.7 (275)	6
Points allowed	11.0 (33)	3

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

So far this year through three games, J.K. Dobbins has racked up 310 rushing yards (leading the Chargers and third in the NFL) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 103.3 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt (first in the NFL).
Quentin Johnston has put together a 2024 stat sheet that includes 10 catches for 133 yards and three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL) over three games played. He has been on the receiving end of 13 targets and is averaging 3.3 receptions per game.
Through three games this season, Justin Herbert has totaled 399 passing yards, with four touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against one interception and completing 67.2% of his passes.
Ladd McConkey has 10 catches for 109 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 3.3 yards per game in three games and has been targeted 17 times.

Defense

Daiyan Henley has 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended in 2024.
Denzel Perryman has 1.0 sack (third on the Chargers) to go with 2.0 TFL and 22 tackles.
Khalil Mack has recorded 2.5 sacks (first on the Chargers) as well as 2.0 TFL and 10 tackles in the 2024 season.
Joey Bosa has 2.0 sacks (second on the Chargers) as well as 2.0 TFL and nine tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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