Bears vs. Lions 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

The Chicago Bears (11-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Detroit Lions (8-8). The Lions have dropped three games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 51.5 points.

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Bears vs. Lions Odds & Betting Lines

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Bears vs. Lions Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Bears (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (51.5)
  
• Prediction: Bears 28 - Lions 24

How to Watch Chicago vs. Detroit

• Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Bears vs. Lions Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head bouts, Detroit has taken down Chicago four times.
• Chicago has been outscored by 41 points in its last five tilts versus Detroit.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago is 10-6-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bears have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Chicago games this year have hit the over on eight of 16 set point totals (50%).
• The Bears have won each of the six games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bears have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 66.4%.

Bears Stats

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• Caleb Williams ranks eighth in the NFL with 3,730 passing yards in 16 games this year, averaging 233.1 per game with a 57.9% completion percentage and 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) against six interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 387 yards (third on the Bears) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 24.2 rushing yards per game.
• D'Andre Swift averages 4.9 yards per carry (11th in the NFL) and 69.8 yards per game, and has 1,047 total rushing yards. He has recorded nine rushing TDs this season.
• Swift has 33 catches on 46 targets for 291 yards. He has one receiving TD.
• Through 16 games, Kyle Monangai has amassed 769 rushing yards, averaging 48.1 yards per game and scoring five touchdowns.
• D.J. Moore averages 3.1 receptions and 41.9 yards per game, and has 671 total receiving yards and 49 catches. He's gotten 82 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes.

Defense

• On defense, Tremaine Edmunds has 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 104 tackles, and four interceptions in 2025.
• Montez Sweat has 49 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks this season.
• Nahshon Wright has recorded five interceptions (second in the NFL) and also has 74 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 12 passes defended.
• Kevin Byard has 4.0 TFL, 85 tackles, and six interceptions this year.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit is 7-9-0 against the spread this season.
• The Lions have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in two chances).
• This year, 10 Detroit games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Lions have won one out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 37.9% chance of a victory for the Lions.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff has thrown for 4,233 yards this year (to rank third in the NFL), with 33 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and seven interceptions. He is completing 68.3% of his attempts while averaging 264.6 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
• Jahmyr Gibbs averages 71.4 rushing yards per game through 16 games (1,143 total yards to rank ninth in the NFL), while scoring 13 rushing touchdowns.
• Gibbs also has 74 catches for 583 yards (third on the Lions), with four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 89 times and averages 36.4 yards per game.
• So far this season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 106 passes (fifth in the NFL) for 1,262 receiving yards (fifth in the NFL) with 11 touchdowns through the air (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 157 total times and is averaging 6.6 receptions per game in 16 games played.
• Jameson Williams has 59 catches for 1,043 yards and seven receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.7 yards per game in 16 games and has been targeted 94 times.

Defense

• Jack Campbell has 156 tackles, 9.0 TFL, five sacks, and three passes defended in 2025.
• Aidan Hutchinson has 48 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one interception.
• Alex Anzalone has intercepted one pass on top of 95 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and nine passes defended in the 2025 campaign.
• Derrick Barnes' stat sheet includes one interception as well as 71 tackles, 6.0 TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended in 16 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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