Bears vs. Lions 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

The Chicago Bears (11-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3) over the Detroit Lions (8-8). The Lions have lost three games straight. An over/under of 50.5 points has been set for the matchup.

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Bears vs. Lions Odds & Betting Lines

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Bears vs. Lions Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Bears (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (50.5)
  
• Prediction: Bears 28 - Lions 24

How to Watch Chicago vs. Detroit

• Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Bears vs. Lions Recent Matchups

• Detroit owns a 4-1 record against Chicago in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Detroit has tallied 153 points against Chicago, while giving up only 112 points.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago has played 16 games, posting 10 wins against the spread.
• The Bears have been favored by 3 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in four of those matchups.
• Chicago games in 2025 have eclipsed the over/under eight times in 16 opportunities (50%).
• The Bears were favored on the moneyline six times this season, and won all of those games.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Bears' implied win probability is 61.8%.

Bears Stats

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• Caleb Williams ranks eighth in the NFL with 3,730 passing yards in 16 games this year, averaging 233.1 per game with a 57.9% completion percentage and 25 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against six interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 387 yards (third on the Bears) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 24.2 rushing yards per game.
• D'Andre Swift has put up 1,047 rushing yards with nine touchdowns (69.8 yards per game over 15 games). His 4.9 yards per attempt rank 11th in the NFL.
• Swift's 46 targets in the passing game have turned into 33 catches (2.2 per game) for 291 yards (19.4 per game) and one touchdown.
• Kyle Monangai has 769 rushing yards with five touchdowns (48.1 yards per game through 16 games).
• D.J. Moore has put up 671 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 49 catches on 82 targets. He is averaging 3.1 receptions and 41.9 yards per game.

Defense

• On defense, Tremaine Edmunds has 104 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and four interceptions in 2025.
• Montez Sweat has 49 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks this season.
• Nahshon Wright has collected 74 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and five interceptions this year. He's fourth on the Bears in tackles.
• Kevin Byard has 4.0 TFL, 85 tackles, and six interceptions this year.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit has covered the spread seven times in 16 games with a set total.
• The Lions have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 3 points or more (in four chances).
• Games involving Detroit have hit the over on 10 occasions this season.
• The Lions have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won once.
• The Lions have a 42.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff has passed for 4,233 yards this year (to rank third in the NFL), with 33 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and seven interceptions. He is completing 68.3% of his attempts while averaging 264.6 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored 13 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,143 rushing yards (5.1 per attempt and 71.4 per game).
• Gibbs also has 74 catches for 583 yards (third on the Lions), with four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 89 times and averages 36.4 yards per game.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has registered 1,262 receiving yards (fifth in the NFL) and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) on 106 receptions (fifth in the NFL), while being targeted 157 times on the season.
• Jameson Williams has been targeted 94 times, resulting in 59 catches for 1,043 yards .

Defense

• Jack Campbell's 2025 output includes 156 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and five sacks through 16 games. He leads the Lions and is fourth in the NFL in tackles.
• Aidan Hutchinson has 13.5 sacks (first on the Lions and fourth in the NFL) to go with 13.0 TFL, 48 tackles, and one interception.
• Over the 2025 campaign, Alex Anzalone has 95 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 16 games.
• Derrick Barnes' stats include one interception as well as 71 tackles, 6.0 TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended in 16 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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