Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 22

The Golden State Warriors (29-27) play the Denver Nuggets (36-21) on February 22, 2026 on ABC. Golden State and Denver are in a matchup Sunday with no set line.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC
• Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

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Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick:
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Warriors 117 - Nuggets 116

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 4-6 over their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 24-31-1 this year.
• The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under in 56.1% of their opportunities this year (32 times in 57 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors record 115.4 points per game, just 0.7 fewer points than the 116.1 the Nuggets allow.
• Golden State has a 17-10-1 record against the spread and a 21-7 record overall when scoring more than 116.1 points.
• This season, the Warriors have a 46.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.6% lower than the 46.7% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have knocked down.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 13 times in 29 opportunities at home, and they've covered 11 times in 27 opportunities on the road.
• Golden State has hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (62.1%) than away games (51.9%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have taken 17 of 24 games when playing at home, good for a .708 winning percentage. They have won six of 15 games away from home (.400) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski posts 12.0 points, 3.6 assists and 4.6 boards per contest.
• Draymond Green averages 8.4 points, 5.7 boards and 5.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Moses Moody posts 11.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 43.7% from the field and 40.1% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made treys per contest.
• Quinten Post averages 7.7 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 43.9% from the field and 35.0% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Al Horford averages 7.5 points, 5.0 boards and 2.4 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.7 steals and 1.1 blocks.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests.
• The Nuggets have played 57 games, with 32 wins against the spread.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over 63.2% of the time (36 out of 57 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets score 7.1 more points per game (120.9) than the Warriors give up to opponents (113.8).
• Denver is 25-18 against the spread and 30-13 overall when it scores more than 113.8 points.
• The Nuggets' 49.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.4 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Nuggets have a lower winning percentage at home (.462, 12-14-0 record) than on the road (.645, 20-11-0).
• Denver's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (15 times out of 26) than on the road (21 of 31) this year.
• In 2025-26 as moneyline favorites, the Nuggets have a better winning percentage at home (.706, 12-5 record) than on the road (.700, 14-6).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic provides 28.6 points, 12.3 rebounds and 10.5 assists per game for the Nuggets.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 25.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 7.6 assists per game. He's sinking 48.2% of his shots from the field and 42.7% from beyond the arc, with 3.2 triples per game (eighth in league).
• The Nuggets are receiving 14.0 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Tim Hardaway Jr. this year.
• The Nuggets are receiving 7.7 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Bruce Brown this year.
• Jonas Valanciunas gets the Nuggets 9.0 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game while delivering 0.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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