Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 22

The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) will try to build on a three-game winning streak when hosting the Golden State Warriors (25-20) on January 22, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The Warriors match up with the Mavericks in a game that Golden State is currently a moderate favorite by 3.5 points. The game has an over/under of 231.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 3.5)
O/U Pick: Under (231.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 117 - Mavericks 114

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Warriors and their opponent have combined to score over 231.5 points, the current matchup's total, in 24 of 45 games this season.
• A total of 18 Mavericks games this season (out of 44) have gone over 231.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 0.4 fewer points per game, 231.1, than this matchup's over/under of 231.5 points.
• The Warriors and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game than the over/under of 231.5 set in this outing.
• Golden State has been victorious in 21, or 61.8%, of the 34 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Dallas has been an underdog in 27 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (37%) in those contests.
• Golden State has won its lone head-to-head meeting with Dallas.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when playing the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have been the favorite in two of their past three contests, and beat the spread in all three.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 7-3 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 231.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.4 greater than this game's over/under of 231.5.
• In the Warriors' 45 games this season, they have 21 wins against the spread.
• Golden State has been favored by 3.5 points or more 26 times this season and are 13-12-1 ATS in those games.
• The Warriors have gone over the point total in 59.1% of their opportunities this year (26 times in 44 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors put up 116.9 points per game, only 0.3 more points than the 116.6 the Mavericks allow.
• Golden State is 16-9-1 against the spread and 20-6 overall when scoring more than 116.6 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 46.4% from the field this season, 0.1 percentage points higher than the 46.3% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread at home (13-10-1) than they have in road tilts (8-13-0).
• In terms of point totals, Golden State hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has exceeded the total 14 times in 24 opportunities this season (58.3%). In road games, it has hit the over 12 times in 21 opportunities (57.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have picked up the win in 16 of 21 games when playing at home, good for a .762 winning percentage. They have won five of 13 games on the road (.385) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry puts up 27.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the floor and 38.7% from beyond the arc with 4.5 made 3-pointers per game (first in NBA).
• Brandin Podziemski puts up 12.3 points, 3.2 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game.
• Draymond Green averages 8.8 points, 5.2 assists and 5.8 boards per game.
• Moses Moody posts 10.7 points, 3 boards and 1.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Quinten Post puts up 8.1 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 44.2% from the floor and 35.1% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 232.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.6 greater than this game's total of 231.5.
• In the Mavericks' 44 games this season, they have 19 wins against the spread.
• Dallas is 14-7 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under 47.7% of the time this season (21 of 44 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks' 114.2 points per game are just 0.2 more points than the 114 the Warriors allow.
• Dallas is 9-6-1 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it scores more than 114 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 47.3% from the field, 0.2% higher than the 47.1% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
• The Mavericks have performed better against the spread at home (13-10-1) than on the road (6-14-0) this season.
• In terms of the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over more frequently at home (12 of 24, 50%) than on the road (nine of 20, 45%).
• In 2025-26 as moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have a better winning percentage at home (.545, 6-5 record) than away (.333, 2-4).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg provides 18.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks are getting 14.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Naji Marshall this season.
• P.J. Washington is averaging 14.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is making 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 31% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.
• The Mavericks are getting 12.9 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Max Christie this season.
• The Mavericks are getting 12.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game from Brandon Williams this year.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Dallas Mavericks

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