Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 22

The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) will look to extend a three-game winning run when hosting the Golden State Warriors (25-20) on January 22, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The Warriors are currently 5.5-point favorites over the Mavericks. The matchup has a point total of 234.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Under (234.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 117 - Mavericks 114

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Warriors games have finished over 234.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 21 times (out of 45) this year.
• The Mavericks games have gone over 234.5 total points scored in 14 of 44 total matchups this season.
• These two teams average a combined 231.1 points per game, 3.4 fewer points than the over/under of 234.5 set for this game.
• The Warriors and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 3.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 234.5 set in this outing.
• Golden State has been the favorite in 34 games this season and has come away with the win 21 times (61.8%) in those contests.
• Dallas has come away with 10 wins in the 27 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Golden State holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups with Dallas.
• The Warriors also have a 1-0 record against the spread when facing the Mavericks.
• In their previous three contests the Mavericks have covered the point spread, and they were the favorite in two of those games.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.9 points over its last 10 games, 2.6 less than the 234.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Warriors have played 45 games, with 21 wins against the spread.
• Golden State is 12-7-1 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 26 out of 44 opportunities (59.1%).
• The Warriors average 116.9 points per game, just 0.3 more points than the 116.6 the Mavericks give up.
• Golden State has a 16-9-1 record against the spread and a 20-6 record overall when scoring more than 116.6 points.
• The Warriors make 46.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.3%).
• At home, the Warriors own a better record against the spread (13-10-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (8-13-0).
• Golden State has hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (58.3%) than away games (57.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have picked up the win in 16 of 21 games when playing at home, good for a .762 winning percentage. They have won five of 13 games away from home (.385) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry puts up 27.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc with 4.5 made 3-pointers per contest (first in league).
• Brandin Podziemski puts up 12.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Draymond Green averages 8.8 points, 5.2 assists and 5.8 boards per game.
• Moses Moody averages 10.7 points, 1.5 assists and 3.0 rebounds.
• Quinten Post averages 8.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Warriors Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.4 less than the 234.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Mavericks' 44 games this season, they have 19 wins against the spread.
• Dallas has an ATS record of 11-5 in its 16 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this season.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under 47.7% of the time this season (21 of 44 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks average just 0.2 more points per game (114.2) than the Warriors give up to opponents (114.0).
• Dallas is 9-6-1 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it scores more than 114.0 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 47.3% from the field, 0.2% higher than the 47.1% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
• The Mavericks have performed better against the spread at home (13-10-1) than on the road (6-14-0) this year.
• In terms of the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over more frequently at home (12 of 24, 50%) than on the road (nine of 20, 45%).
• The Mavericks' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .545 (6-5), and on the road it is .333 (2-4).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. He's also sinking 47.8% of his shots from the field and 28.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 trey per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 14.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• P.J. Washington is putting up 14.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 31.0% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per game.
• The Mavericks are getting 12.9 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Max Christie this year.
• Brandon Williams is putting up 12.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. He is draining 44.8% of his shots from the field.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Dallas Mavericks

Golden State Warriors