Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 2

The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) will attempt to extend a three-game winning streak when visiting the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on January 2, 2026 at Chase Center. Friday's matchup between the Thunder and the Warriors features the Thunder as substantial 13.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 226.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 13.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Warriors 112

Thunder vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• This year, the Thunder games have finished over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 19 (out of 34) times.
• This year, 21 of the Warriors' 34 total matchups have gone over 226.5 total points scored.
• These teams average 237.7 points per game combined, 11.2 more than the over/under of 226.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.6 fewer points per game (220.9) than this game's total of 226.5 points.
• Oklahoma City has been chosen as the favorite in 34 games this year and has walked away with the win 29 times (85.3%) in those games.
• Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (40%) in those games.
• After the last two head-to-head meetings, Oklahoma City has a 2-0 record against Golden State.
• The Thunder also have a 2-0 edge against the spread when playing the Warriors.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230 points in its last 10 games, 3.5 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 34 games this season, they have 18 wins against the spread.
• Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 9-5 in its 14 games when favored by 13.5 points or more so far this season.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 18 out of 34 opportunities (52.9%).
• The Thunder record 122.1 points per game, 8.7 more points than the 113.4 the Warriors give up.
• Oklahoma City is 18-7 against the spread and 24-1 overall when scoring more than 113.4 points.
• The Thunder are shooting 49.4% from the field this season, 2.9 percentage points higher than the 46.5% the Warriors allow to opponents.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 11 times in 19 opportunities at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 opportunities on the road.
• Oklahoma City has exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (52.6%) than away games (53.3%).
• At home, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 17-2 (.895). In road games, they are 12-3 (.800) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 56.3% from the field and 42% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per game.
• Chet Holmgren averages 18.3 points, 8 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 57.1% from the field and 39.3% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.6 assists and 3.5 boards per game.
• Cason Wallace puts up 8 points, 3.1 boards and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 2.2 steals (first in NBA) and 0.2 blocks.
• Jalen Williams posts 17.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the field.

Thunder Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 3.2 points greater than the 226.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Warriors are 15-18-1 against the spread this season.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 20 of 34 set point totals (58.8%).
• The Warriors average 8.1 more points per game (115.6) than the Thunder allow their opponents to score (107.5).
• When it scores more than 107.5 points, Golden State is 12-12-1 against the spread and 15-10 overall.
• The Warriors have shot at a 45.6% clip from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points above the 43.3% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• The Warriors have performed better against the spread at home (7-6-1) than away (8-12-0) this season.
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Golden State's games have finished above the over/under at home (57.1%, eight of 14) compared to away (60%, 12 of 20).
• The Warriors' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .750 (9-3), and on the road it is .417 (5-7).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Brandin Podziemski gets the Warriors 12.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Moses Moody is averaging 10.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He's making 40.6% of his shots from the field and 37.3% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest.
• Quinten Post is averaging 7.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He is sinking 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 34% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• Will Richard is putting up 8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. He is making 53.2% of his shots from the floor and 38.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per contest.
• Buddy Hield gives the Warriors 7.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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