
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - June 11
Updated Jun. 11, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers are battling in the NBA Finals, with Game 3 up next. Oklahoma City is a 5.5-point favorite against Indiana when the Thunder square off against the Pacers on Wednesday. The matchup's point total is 227.5.
Here's everything you need to know about the Thunder-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Thunder vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
- TV: ABC
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -5.5 | -108 | -112 | 227.5 | -110 | -110 | -218 | +180 |
Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction
ATS Pick: Thunder (- 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Pacers 110
Thunder vs. Pacers Betting Insights
- Thunder games have gone over 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 44 times (out of 82) this season.
- This season, 53 of the Pacers' 82 games have had a combined total of more than 227.5 points scored.
- These teams average a combined 237.9 points per game, 10.4 more points than the over/under of 227.5 set for this matchup.
- Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 222.7 points per game, 4.8 fewer than the point total in this game.
- Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
- Indiana has been victorious in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
- After the last four head-to-head meetings, Oklahoma City has a 3-1 record against Indiana.
- The Thunder also hold a 3-1 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Pacers.
- Versus the spread, the Pacers have covered for three straight games, and were the favorite in two of those games.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
- Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 220.7 points in its last 10 games, 6.8 less than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Thunder have played 82 games, with 53 wins against the spread.
- Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 39-21-3 in its 63 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
- Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 54.9% of the time (45 out of 82 games with a set point total).
- The Thunder score 5.4 more points per game (120.5) than the Pacers allow (115.1).
- When Oklahoma City puts up more than 115.1 points, it is 39-14-1 against the spread and 47-7 overall.
- This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.8% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Pacers' opponents have hit.
- The Thunder have done a better job covering the spread at home (28-11-3) than they have in road games (25-14-1).
- Oklahoma City has exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (59.5%) than road games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.854) compared to road games (.811).
Thunder Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 120.5 | 4 |
| Points Allowed | 107.6 | 3 |
| Rebounds | 44.8 | 11 |
| Assists | 26.9 | 12 |
| Steals | 10.3 | 1 |
| Blocks | 5.7 | 2 |
Thunder Leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5.0 boards and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
- Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
- Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
- Aaron Wiggins averages 12.0 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.
Thunder Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33.5 | -110 | 32.7 |
| Jalen Williams | 21.5 | -105 | 21.6 |
| Chet Holmgren | 14.5 | -120 | 15.0 |
| Alex Caruso | 9.5 | -110 | 7.1 |
| Luguentz Dort | 7.5 | -130 | 10.1 |
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
- Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 225.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.9 less than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Pacers have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
- This year, Indiana has an ATS record of 7-6 in its 13 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
- The Pacers have eclipsed the over/under 53.7% of the time this season (44 of 82 games with a set point total).
- The Pacers' 117.4 points per game are 9.8 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder give up.
- When it scores more than 107.6 points, Indiana is 38-33-1 against the spread and 48-24 overall.
- The Pacers' 48.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is 5.2 percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (43.6%).
- The Pacers have the same winning percentage against the spread (.463) at home (19-21-1 record) and away (19-22-0) this season.
- Looking at the over/under, Indiana's games have gone over 53.7% of the time this year, both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41).
- In 2024-25 as moneyline favorites, the Pacers have a better winning percentage at home (.806, 25-6 record) than away (.526, 10-9).
Pacers Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 117.4 | 7 |
| Points Allowed | 115.1 | 17 |
| Rebounds | 41.8 | 27 |
| Assists | 29.2 | 3 |
| Steals | 8.5 | 8 |
| Blocks | 5.5 | 4 |
Pacers Leaders
- Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game. He's also sinking 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 triples per contest.
- Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He's draining 51.9% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
- Myles Turner is averaging 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 2.2 treys per contest.
- Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is making 45.8% of his shots from the field and 34.0% from 3-point range, with 1.4 treys per contest.
- The Pacers are getting 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game from T.J. McConnell this year.
Pacers Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 19.5 | -105 | 20.2 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 17.5 | -110 | 18.6 |
| Myles Turner | 14.5 | -115 | 15.6 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 13.5 | +100 | 12.0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 11.5 | -110 | 10.0 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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