Thunder vs. Pacers Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - June 11

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - June 11

Updated Jun. 11, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers are battling in the NBA Finals, with Game 3 up next. Oklahoma City is a 5.5-point favorite against Indiana when the Thunder square off against the Pacers on Wednesday. The matchup's point total is 227.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Thunder-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
  • TV: ABC
Thunder vs Pacers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -5.5 -108 -112 227.5 -110 -110 -218 +180

Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Pacers 110

Thunder vs. Pacers Betting Insights

  • Thunder games have gone over 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 44 times (out of 82) this season.
  • This season, 53 of the Pacers' 82 games have had a combined total of more than 227.5 points scored.
  • These teams average a combined 237.9 points per game, 10.4 more points than the over/under of 227.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 222.7 points per game, 4.8 fewer than the point total in this game.
  • Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 78 games this season and has come away with the win 65 times (83.3%) in those contests.
  • Indiana has been victorious in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • After the last four head-to-head meetings, Oklahoma City has a 3-1 record against Indiana.
  • The Thunder also hold a 3-1 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Pacers.
  • Versus the spread, the Pacers have covered for three straight games, and were the favorite in two of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 220.7 points in its last 10 games, 6.8 less than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Thunder have played 82 games, with 53 wins against the spread.
  • Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 39-21-3 in its 63 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 54.9% of the time (45 out of 82 games with a set point total).
  • The Thunder score 5.4 more points per game (120.5) than the Pacers allow (115.1).
  • When Oklahoma City puts up more than 115.1 points, it is 39-14-1 against the spread and 47-7 overall.
  • This season, the Thunder have a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.8% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Pacers' opponents have hit.
  • The Thunder have done a better job covering the spread at home (28-11-3) than they have in road games (25-14-1).
  • Oklahoma City has exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (59.5%) than road games (50%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.854) compared to road games (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.5 4
Points Allowed 107.6 3
Rebounds 44.8 11
Assists 26.9 12
Steals 10.3 1
Blocks 5.7 2

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5.0 boards and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the floor and 37.5% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
  • Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
  • Aaron Wiggins averages 12.0 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
  • Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 boards.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 33.5 -110 32.7
Jalen Williams 21.5 -105 21.6
Chet Holmgren 14.5 -120 15.0
Alex Caruso 9.5 -110 7.1
Luguentz Dort 7.5 -130 10.1

Pacers Recent Trends

  • The Pacers have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 225.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.9 less than the 227.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Pacers have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
  • This year, Indiana has an ATS record of 7-6 in its 13 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
  • The Pacers have eclipsed the over/under 53.7% of the time this season (44 of 82 games with a set point total).
  • The Pacers' 117.4 points per game are 9.8 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder give up.
  • When it scores more than 107.6 points, Indiana is 38-33-1 against the spread and 48-24 overall.
  • The Pacers' 48.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is 5.2 percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (43.6%).
  • The Pacers have the same winning percentage against the spread (.463) at home (19-21-1 record) and away (19-22-0) this season.
  • Looking at the over/under, Indiana's games have gone over 53.7% of the time this year, both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline favorites, the Pacers have a better winning percentage at home (.806, 25-6 record) than away (.526, 10-9).

Pacers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 117.4 7
Points Allowed 115.1 17
Rebounds 41.8 27
Assists 29.2 3
Steals 8.5 8
Blocks 5.5 4

Pacers Leaders

  • Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game. He's also sinking 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 triples per contest.
  • Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He's draining 51.9% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
  • Myles Turner is averaging 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 2.2 treys per contest.
  • Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is making 45.8% of his shots from the field and 34.0% from 3-point range, with 1.4 treys per contest.
  • The Pacers are getting 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game from T.J. McConnell this year.

Pacers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Pascal Siakam 19.5 -105 20.2
Tyrese Haliburton 17.5 -110 18.6
Myles Turner 14.5 -115 15.6
Aaron Nesmith 13.5 +100 12.0
Andrew Nembhard 11.5 -110 10.0

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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