Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 29

The Atlanta Hawks (15-18) will be looking to snap a six-game losing streak when hitting the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder (27-5) on December 29, 2025 at Paycom Center. Monday's matchup between the Thunder and the Hawks features the Thunder as massive 16.5-point favorites. A 235.5-point total has been set for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Hawks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Hawks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction

ATS Pick: Hawks (+ 16.5)
O/U Pick: Under (235.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 125 - Hawks 109

Thunder vs. Hawks Betting Insights

• This year, the Thunder games have finished over 235.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 10 (out of 32) times.
• This year, 19 of the Hawks' 33 total matchups have gone over 235.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 4.8 more points per game, 240.3, than this matchup's total of 235.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.1 fewer points per game (227.4) than this matchup's total of 235.5 points.
• Oklahoma City has been victorious in 27, or 84.4%, of the 32 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Atlanta has been victorious in seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Oklahoma City has won its lone head-to-head matchup against Atlanta.
• The Thunder also have a 1-0 record against the spread when taking on the Hawks.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 5.6 points fewer than the 235.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Thunder have played 32 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• Oklahoma City has been favored by 16.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the point total 51.5% of the time (17 out of 33 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder put up just 1.4 more points per game (121.5) than the Hawks allow (120.1).
• Oklahoma City is 14-5 against the spread and 19-0 overall when scoring more than 120.1 points.
• The Thunder make 49.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.5 percentage points higher than the Hawks have allowed to their opponents (47.7%).
• The Thunder own a better record against the spread when playing at home (10-7-0) than they do on the road (7-8-0).
• Oklahoma City has gone over the over/under less often at home, hitting the over in nine of 17 home matchups (52.9%). In road games, it has hit the over in eight of 15 games (53.3%).
• The Thunder have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 15-2 (.882). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 12-3 (.800).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.0 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 55.6% from the field and 41.9% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Chet Holmgren puts up 18.3 points, 1.6 assists and 7.9 boards per contest.
• Ajay Mitchell posts 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (10th in NBA) and 0.3 blocks.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game, shooting 64.4% from the floor.
• Cason Wallace puts up 7.8 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 2.2 steals (first in league) and 0.2 blocks.

Hawks Recent Trends

• The Hawks have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 2-8 overall over their past 10 games.
• Atlanta and its opponents have combined to score an average of 241.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.6 more than the 235.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Hawks' 33 games this year, they have 15 wins against the spread.
• Hawks games this season have gone over the total in 19 of 33 opportunities (57.6%).
• The Hawks score 11.5 more points per game (118.8) than the Thunder allow (107.3).
• When it scores more than 107.3 points, Atlanta is 13-14 against the spread and 14-13 overall.
• The Hawks' 48.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 5.0 percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (43.3%).
• This year, the Hawks are 5-11-0 at home against the spread (.312 winning percentage). On the road, they are 10-7-0 ATS (.588).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Atlanta's games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, eight of 16) compared to on the road (64.7%, 11 of 17).
• When moneyline favorites, the Hawks have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-6) than away (6-4).

Hawks Recent Stats

Hawks Leaders

• Jalen Johnson is putting up 23.7 points, 10.4 rebounds and 8.4 assists per game. He's also sinking 52.2% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.
• The Hawks are receiving 16.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game from Onyeka Okongwu this season.
• Dyson Daniels gives the Hawks 11.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 5.7 assists per contest while delivering 2.0 steals (second in league) and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Hawks are receiving 20.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game from Nickeil Alexander-Walker this year.
• The Hawks are getting 10.7 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Zaccharie Risacher this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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