Rockets vs. Warriors Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 20

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are battling in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 1 next to come. Sunday's matchup between the Rockets and the Warriors features the Rockets as close 1-point favorites. The game's point total is 212.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Rockets-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV:

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 1)
O/U Pick: Over (212)
Score Prediction: Rockets 114 - Warriors 110

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• This year, the Rockets games have gone over 212 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 56 (out of 82) times.
• The Warriors games have gone over 212 total points scored in 61 of 82 total matchups this season.
• These two teams average a combined 228.1 points per game, 16.1 more points than the total of 212 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 220.3 points per game, 8.3 more than the point total in this game.
• Houston has come away with 41 wins in the 53 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Golden State has won in 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Golden State has taken three of its last five head-to-head meetings with Houston.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (4-1) when taking the court against the Rockets.
• The Rockets have been the favorites in zero of their previous three games, and failed to beat the spread in all three.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 15.1 points more than the 212 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Rockets are 42-39-1 against the spread this year.
• Houston is 27-26-1 ATS when favored by 1 point or more this season.
• Rockets games this year have gone over the point total 46 times in 82 opportunities (56.1%).
• The Rockets average just 3.8 more points per game (114.3) than the Warriors give up (110.5).
• When Houston puts up more than 110.5 points, it is 32-17 against the spread and 37-12 overall.
• The Rockets are shooting 45.5% from the field this season, one percentage point lower than the 46.5% the Warriors allow to opponents.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 20 times in 41 games when playing at home, and they've covered 22 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• When it comes to over/unders, Houston hits the over less often in home games, as it has exceeded the total 21 times in 41 opportunities this season (51.2%). On the road, it has hit the over 25 times in 41 opportunities (61%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Rockets have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.758) compared to road games (.800).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun averages 19.1 points, 4.9 assists and 10.3 boards per contest.
• Jalen Green averages 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 42.3% from the floor and 35.4% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per contest.
• Amen Thompson posts 14.1 points, 3.8 assists and 8.2 boards per game.
• Fred VanVleet averages 14.1 points, 5.6 assists and 3.7 boards.
• Dillon Brooks averages 14 points, 3.7 boards and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Rockets Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 7-3 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 19.2 points greater than the 212 total listed for this matchup.
• The Warriors are 41-40-1 against the spread this season.
• So far this year, Golden State has been installed as underdogs by a 1-point margin or more 28 times and are 16-12 ATS in those matchups.
• Warriors games this year have eclipsed the over/under 42 times in 82 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Warriors put up only four more points per game (113.8) than the Rockets give up (109.8).
• Golden State is 33-18 against the spread and 39-12 overall when it scores more than 109.8 points.
• The Warriors have shot at a 45.1% rate from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points below the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Rockets have averaged.
• This season, the Warriors are 18-23-0 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, they are 23-17-1 ATS (.561).
• Looking at the over/under, Golden State's games have finished over less often at home (20 of 41, 48.8%) than away (22 of 41, 53.7%).
• The Warriors' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .621 (18-11), and on the road it is .680 (17-8).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Stephen Curry gives the Warriors 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Jimmy Butler is putting up 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game. He's draining 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• The Warriors are getting 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Draymond Green this year.
• Brandin Podziemski gets the Warriors 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game while averaging 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Buddy Hield is averaging 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is making 41.7% of his shots from the field and 37% from 3-point range, with 2.5 triples per contest.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.