Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 16

The Houston Rockets (23-15) battle the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) on January 16, 2026. The matchup airs on ESPN and SCHN. The Rockets are currently moderate 3.5-point favorites against the Timberwolves. A 222.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Rockets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, January 16, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: ESPN and SCHN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Over (222.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 118 - Timberwolves 114

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• This year, the Rockets games have finished over 222.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 21 (out of 38) times.
• This year, 31 of the Timberwolves' 41 games have had a combined total higher than 222.5 points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average 15.0 more points per game (237.5) than this game's total (222.5).
• The Rockets and the Timberwolves have seen their opponents average a combined 2.9 more points per game than the point total of 222.5 set for this outing.
• Houston has been the favorite in 35 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (62.9%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has been victorious in three of the nine contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Houston and Minnesota have each won two of their last four head-to-head matchups.
• Both the Rockets and the Timberwolves have 2-2 records against the spread in those contests.
• The Rockets have been favored in six of their past seven contests, and failed to cover the spread in all seven.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have two wins against the spread, and are 5-5 overall, over their last 10 contests.
• Houston has averaged a total of 223.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.9 greater than this matchup's total of 222.5.
• The Rockets are 18-20-0 against the spread this year.
• Houston is 12-17 ATS when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
• Rockets games this year have gone over the point total 19 times in 41 opportunities (46.3%).
• The Rockets put up only 2.6 more points per game (117.2) than the Timberwolves allow (114.6).
• Houston is 15-8 against the spread and 18-5 overall when scoring more than 114.6 points.
• This season, the Rockets have a 47.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.8% higher than the 46.0% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have made.
• At home, the Rockets have a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (12-11-0).
• Houston has eclipsed the over/under less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 15 home matchups (46.7%). In away games, it has hit the over in 12 of 23 games (52.2%).
• The Rockets have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 12-2 (.857). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 10-11 (.476).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant averages 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.0 block.
• Amen Thompson puts up 18.7 points, 5.1 assists and 7.7 boards per contest.
• Alperen Sengun puts up 21.5 points, 6.5 assists and 9.0 boards per game.
• Jabari Smith Jr. puts up 15.1 points, 7.0 boards and 1.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Reed Sheppard averages 12.8 points, 3.2 assists and 2.6 rebounds.

Rockets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 236.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 13.7 greater than this game's over/under of 222.5.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 18-23-0 this year.
• So far this year, Minnesota has been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 20 of 41 opportunities (48.8%).
• The Timberwolves score 9.5 more points per game (120.3) than the Rockets allow (110.8).
• Minnesota is 17-15 against the spread and 24-8 overall when it scores more than 110.8 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.6% rate from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points greater than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Rockets have averaged.
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage against the spread at home is .429 (9-12-0). On the road, it is .450 (9-11-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, seven of 21) than on the road (65%, 13 of 20).
• The Timberwolves, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (14-4) than away (10-4) this year.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gives the Timberwolves 22.2 points, 7.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Timberwolves are getting 11.0 points, 11.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this season.
• The Timberwolves are getting 14.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Donte DiVincenzo is putting up 13.4 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. He is sinking 42.1% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 3.1 treys per contest.
• Jaden McDaniels gives the Timberwolves 14.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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