
Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 17
The Denver Nuggets (28-13) will try to build on a three-game winning streak when hosting the Washington Wizards (10-30) on January 17, 2026 at Ball Arena. Denver is a substantial 13-point favorite against Washington when the Nuggets face off with the Wizards on Saturday. The over/under is 232.5 points for the game.
Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Wizards game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Nuggets vs. Wizards Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: ALT, KTVD, and MNMT2
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -13 | -110 | -110 | 232.5 | -106 | -114 | -592 | +440 |
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Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction
ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 13)
O/U Pick: Over (232.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 127 - Wizards 111
Nuggets vs. Wizards Betting Insights
- Of 41 games so far this year, the Nuggets have had 28 with over 232.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
- This year, 24 of the Wizards' 40 games have had a combined total of more than 232.5 points scored.
- These two teams average 235.3 points per game combined, 2.8 more than the over/under of 232.5.
- The Nuggets and the Wizards have seen their opponents average a combined 8.7 more points per game than the point total of 232.5 set for this matchup.
- Denver has won 21, or 70%, of the 30 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
- Washington has been an underdog in 37 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (24.3%) in those contests.
- Washington has taken both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Denver.
- The Wizards also have a 2-0 edge against the spread when matched up with the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets covered the spread in their past three games, and were the favorites in one of those contests.
- The Wizards have been the favorite in zero of their past five contests, and failed to beat the spread in all five.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
- Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.6 points in its last 10 games, 1.9 less than the 232.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Nuggets are 25-16-0 against the spread this year.
- Denver has covered the spread twice this season when favored by 13 points or more (in three chances).
- The Nuggets have hit the over in 65% of their opportunities this year (26 times over 40 games with a set point total).
- The 122.6 points per game the Nuggets record are only 1.4 fewer points than the Wizards give up (124.0).
- Denver has a 13-8 record against the spread and a 16-5 record overall when putting up more than 124.0 points.
- This season, the Nuggets have a 50.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.7% higher than the 47.5% of shots the Wizards' opponents have knocked down.
- The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (15-9-0) than they have in home games (10-7-0).
- Looking at point totals, Denver hits the over less often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total 10 times in 17 opportunities this season (58.8%). In away games, it has hit the over 16 times in 24 opportunities (66.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.692) compared to road games (.706).
Nuggets Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 122.6 | 1 |
| Points Allowed | 117.2 | 20 |
| Rebounds | 42.9 | 23 |
| Assists | 28.4 | 8 |
| Steals | 6.9 | 29 |
| Blocks | 3.9 | 28 |
Nuggets Leaders
- Jamal Murray posts 25.8 points, 7.5 assists and 4.5 rebounds per contest.
- Peyton Watson puts up 13.8 points, 1.8 assists and 5.0 rebounds per contest.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 13.8 points, 1.4 assists and 2.4 rebounds per contest.
- Bruce Brown puts up 7.1 points, 4.2 boards and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the field.
- Aaron Gordon averages 18.5 points, 1.8 assists and 6.2 boards.
Nuggets Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 27.5 | -106 | 25.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | 19.5 | -130 | 18.5 |
| Peyton Watson | 19.5 | -114 | 13.8 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 14.5 | -132 | 13.8 |
| Jalen Pickett | 10.5 | -102 | 6.0 |
Wizards Recent Trends
- The Wizards have gone 3-7 over their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
- Washington and its opponents have combined to score an average of 233.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.8 more than the 232.5 over/under in this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Wizards are 15-25-0 this season.
- Washington is 3-9 ATS when underdogs by 13 points or more this season.
- Wizards games this season have eclipsed the over/under 20 times in 40 opportunities (50%).
- The Wizards average just 4.5 fewer points per game (112.7) than the Nuggets give up to opponents (117.2).
- Washington has put together a 9-2 ATS record and a 6-5 overall record in games it scores more than 117.2 points.
- The Wizards have shot at a 46.2% clip from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points below the 47.1% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
- The Wizards have performed better against the spread at home (8-11-0) than away (7-14-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Washington's games have gone over 11 of 19 times at home (57.9%), and nine of 21 away (42.9%).
Wizards Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 112.7 | 25 |
| Points Allowed | 124.0 | 29 |
| Rebounds | 43.9 | 17 |
| Assists | 25.3 | 19 |
| Steals | 7.2 | 28 |
| Blocks | 6.1 | 3 |
Wizards Leaders
- Alex Sarr is averaging 16.9 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He's also draining 50.2% of his shots from the floor and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 trey per contest.
- On a per-game basis, Kyshawn George gets the Wizards 14.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
- The Wizards are getting 9.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game from Bub Carrington this year.
- Marvin Bagley III is averaging 10.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 61.8% of his shots from the floor.
- The Wizards are getting 7.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Justin Champagnie this year.
Wizards Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George | 15.5 | -106 | 14.9 |
| Tre Johnson | 14.5 | -114 | 12.6 |
| Bub Carrington | 11.5 | -112 | 9.4 |
| Justin Champagnie | 10.5 | +102 | 7.0 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 9.5 | -114 | 10.0 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
