Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 17

The Washington Wizards (10-30) will attempt to halt a four-game road losing streak at the Denver Nuggets (28-13) on January 17, 2026. Saturday's game between the Nuggets and the Wizards sees the Nuggets as a double-digit favorite by 11 points. The game has a point total of 228.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Wizards game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ALT, KTVD, and MNMT2
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 11)
O/U Pick: Over (228.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 127 - Wizards 111

Nuggets vs. Wizards Betting Insights

• Nuggets games have gone over 228.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 29 times (out of 41) this season.
• This year, 26 of the Wizards' 40 total matchups have gone over 228.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 6.8 more points per game (235.3) than this game's over/under of 228.5 points.
• The Nuggets and the Wizards have seen their opponents average a combined 12.7 more points per game than the point total of 228.5 set for this outing.
• Denver has won 21, or 70%, of the 30 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Washington has come away with nine wins in the 37 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last two head-to-head meetings, Washington has a 2-0 record against Denver.
• The Wizards also have a 2-0 record against the spread when playing the Nuggets.
• Against the point spread, the Nuggets have covered in three straight games, and were favored in one of those contests.
• Against the point spread, the Wizards have not covered in five straight games, and were the favorite in zero of those games.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 2.1 points more than the 228.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Nuggets have 25 wins against the spread in 41 games this year.
• Denver is 3-5 ATS when favored by 11 points or more this season.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 26 out of 40 opportunities (65%).
• The 122.6 points per game the Nuggets score are only 1.4 fewer points than the Wizards allow (124.0).
• When Denver totals more than 124.0 points, it is 13-8 against the spread and 16-5 overall.
• The Nuggets make 50.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.7 percentage points higher than the Wizards have allowed to their opponents (47.5%).
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 10 times in 17 games when playing at home, and they've covered 15 times in 24 games when playing on the road.
• Looking at point totals, Denver hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has eclipsed the total 10 times in 17 opportunities this season (58.8%). On the road, it has hit the over 16 times in 24 opportunities (66.7%).
• The Nuggets have played worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 9-4, compared to going 12-5 on the road.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Jamal Murray averages 25.8 points, 7.5 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game.
• Peyton Watson averages 13.8 points, 5.0 boards and 1.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.0 block.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 13.8 points, 2.4 boards and 1.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Bruce Brown posts 7.1 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocks.
• Aaron Gordon averages 18.5 points, 1.8 assists and 6.2 rebounds.

Nuggets Player Props

Wizards Recent Trends

• The Wizards have gone 3-7 in their past 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span.
• Washington's average total over the last 10 games is 4.8 points greater than the 228.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Wizards' 40 games this year, they have 15 wins against the spread.
• Washington has an ATS record of 7-12 in its 19 games when underdogs by 11 points or more this year.
• Wizards games this year have gone over the total in 20 of 40 opportunities (50%).
• The Wizards put up an average of 112.7 points per game, only 4.5 fewer points than the 117.2 the Nuggets allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 117.2 points, Washington is 9-2 against the spread and 6-5 overall.
• The Wizards have shot at a 46.2% rate from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points less than the 47.1% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
• This season, the Wizards are 8-11-0 at home against the spread (.421 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-14-0 ATS (.333).
• In terms of the over/under, Washington's games have gone over more often at home (11 of 19, 57.9%) than away (nine of 21, 42.9%).

Wizards Recent Stats

Wizards Leaders

• Alex Sarr is putting up 16.9 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He's also sinking 50.2% of his shots from the floor and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 trey per contest.
• On a per-game basis, Kyshawn George gets the Wizards 14.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Bub Carrington gets the Wizards 9.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game while averaging 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Marvin Bagley III gets the Wizards 10.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest while putting up 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Wizards are getting 7.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Justin Champagnie this season.

Wizards Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.