Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 17

Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 17

Published Jan. 17, 2026 9:23 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Denver Nuggets (28-13) will try to build on a three-game winning streak when hosting the Washington Wizards (10-30) on January 17, 2026 at Ball Arena. Denver is a substantial 13-point favorite against Washington when the Nuggets face off with the Wizards on Saturday. The over/under is 232.5 points for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Wizards game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: ALT, KTVD, and MNMT2
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Nuggets vs Wizards Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Nuggets -13 -110 -110 232.5 -106 -114 -592 +440

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Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 13)
O/U Pick: Over (232.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 127 - Wizards 111

Nuggets vs. Wizards Betting Insights

  • Of 41 games so far this year, the Nuggets have had 28 with over 232.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
  • This year, 24 of the Wizards' 40 games have had a combined total of more than 232.5 points scored.
  • These two teams average 235.3 points per game combined, 2.8 more than the over/under of 232.5.
  • The Nuggets and the Wizards have seen their opponents average a combined 8.7 more points per game than the point total of 232.5 set for this matchup.
  • Denver has won 21, or 70%, of the 30 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Washington has been an underdog in 37 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (24.3%) in those contests.
  • Washington has taken both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Denver.
  • The Wizards also have a 2-0 edge against the spread when matched up with the Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets covered the spread in their past three games, and were the favorites in one of those contests.
  • The Wizards have been the favorite in zero of their past five contests, and failed to beat the spread in all five.

Nuggets Recent Trends

  • The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.6 points in its last 10 games, 1.9 less than the 232.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Nuggets are 25-16-0 against the spread this year.
  • Denver has covered the spread twice this season when favored by 13 points or more (in three chances).
  • The Nuggets have hit the over in 65% of their opportunities this year (26 times over 40 games with a set point total).
  • The 122.6 points per game the Nuggets record are only 1.4 fewer points than the Wizards give up (124.0).
  • Denver has a 13-8 record against the spread and a 16-5 record overall when putting up more than 124.0 points.
  • This season, the Nuggets have a 50.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.7% higher than the 47.5% of shots the Wizards' opponents have knocked down.
  • The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (15-9-0) than they have in home games (10-7-0).
  • Looking at point totals, Denver hits the over less often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total 10 times in 17 opportunities this season (58.8%). In away games, it has hit the over 16 times in 24 opportunities (66.7%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.692) compared to road games (.706).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 122.6 1
Points Allowed 117.2 20
Rebounds 42.9 23
Assists 28.4 8
Steals 6.9 29
Blocks 3.9 28

Nuggets Leaders

  • Jamal Murray posts 25.8 points, 7.5 assists and 4.5 rebounds per contest.
  • Peyton Watson puts up 13.8 points, 1.8 assists and 5.0 rebounds per contest.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 13.8 points, 1.4 assists and 2.4 rebounds per contest.
  • Bruce Brown puts up 7.1 points, 4.2 boards and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the field.
  • Aaron Gordon averages 18.5 points, 1.8 assists and 6.2 boards.

Nuggets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Jamal Murray 27.5 -106 25.8
Aaron Gordon 19.5 -130 18.5
Peyton Watson 19.5 -114 13.8
Tim Hardaway Jr. 14.5 -132 13.8
Jalen Pickett 10.5 -102 6.0

Wizards Recent Trends

  • The Wizards have gone 3-7 over their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
  • Washington and its opponents have combined to score an average of 233.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.8 more than the 232.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Wizards are 15-25-0 this season.
  • Washington is 3-9 ATS when underdogs by 13 points or more this season.
  • Wizards games this season have eclipsed the over/under 20 times in 40 opportunities (50%).
  • The Wizards average just 4.5 fewer points per game (112.7) than the Nuggets give up to opponents (117.2).
  • Washington has put together a 9-2 ATS record and a 6-5 overall record in games it scores more than 117.2 points.
  • The Wizards have shot at a 46.2% clip from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points below the 47.1% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
  • The Wizards have performed better against the spread at home (8-11-0) than away (7-14-0) this season.
  • In terms of the over/under, Washington's games have gone over 11 of 19 times at home (57.9%), and nine of 21 away (42.9%).

Wizards Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 112.7 25
Points Allowed 124.0 29
Rebounds 43.9 17
Assists 25.3 19
Steals 7.2 28
Blocks 6.1 3

Wizards Leaders

  • Alex Sarr is averaging 16.9 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He's also draining 50.2% of his shots from the floor and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 trey per contest.
  • On a per-game basis, Kyshawn George gets the Wizards 14.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • The Wizards are getting 9.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game from Bub Carrington this year.
  • Marvin Bagley III is averaging 10.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 61.8% of his shots from the floor.
  • The Wizards are getting 7.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Justin Champagnie this year.

Wizards Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Kyshawn George 15.5 -106 14.9
Tre Johnson 14.5 -114 12.6
Bub Carrington 11.5 -112 9.4
Justin Champagnie 10.5 +102 7.0
Marvin Bagley III 9.5 -114 10.0

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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