Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 14

The Denver Nuggets will go up against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Tuesday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Timberwolves features the Nuggets as small 4-point favorites. The game has a point total of 206.

Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 14, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT and truTV

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (206)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 111 - Timberwolves 110

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games so far this season, the Nuggets have played 71 with over 206 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• This year, 67 of the Timberwolves' 82 total matchups have gone over 206 total points scored.
• These teams average 227.9 points per game combined, 21.9 more than the total of 206.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10.1 more points per game (216.1) than this game's over/under of 206 points.
• Denver has come away with 53 wins in the 72 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Minnesota has come away with 10 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Denver and Minnesota have each won four of their last eight head-to-head matchups.
• The Timberwolves have a 5-3 edge against the spread when playing the Nuggets.
• Against the point spread, the Timberwolves have not covered for four games in a row, and were favored in three of those contests.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 215.1 points over its last 10 games, 9.1 more than the 206 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Denver has been installed as favorites by a 4-point margin or more 56 times and are 26-29-1 ATS in those contests.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 34 out of 82 opportunities (41.5%).
• The Nuggets average 114.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves give up.
• Denver is 35-26-1 against the spread and 53-10 overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
• The Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the field this season, 4.6 percentage points higher than the 45% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• The Nuggets sport a better record against the spread when playing at home (21-19-0) than they do in road games (17-23-1).
• Denver has gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (43.9%) than games on the road (39%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.800) compared to road games (.656).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic posts 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9 assists per contest, shooting 58.3% from the field (10th in league) and 35.9% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jamal Murray puts up 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.7 blocks.
• Aaron Gordon puts up 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Reggie Jackson averages 10.2 points, 3.8 assists and 1.9 rebounds.

Nuggets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 12.8 points fewer than the 206 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as underdogs by a 4-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves score just 3.4 more points per game (113) than the Nuggets allow their opponents to score (109.6).
• Minnesota has put together a 35-18 ATS record and a 43-10 overall record in games it scores more than 109.6 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.5% clip from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points higher than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
• This season, the Timberwolves are 18-22-1 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, they are 22-18-1 ATS (.537).
• In 2023-24 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (43.9%, 18 of 41) compared to on the road (56.1%, 23 of 41).
• The Timberwolves, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (27-10) than away (19-5) this season.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is putting up 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He's also draining 46.1% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 14 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this season.
• Karl-Anthony Towns is putting up 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3 assists per game. He is making 50.4% of his shots from the floor and 41.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per game.
• Naz Reid is putting up 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 47.7% of his shots from the field and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game.
• Mike Conley is averaging 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. He is sinking 45.7% of his shots from the floor and 44.2% from 3-point range (third in NBA), with 2.4 treys per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.