Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 27

The Dallas Mavericks (21-37) will try to snap a six-game home losing skid when hosting the Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) on February 27, 2026. Friday's matchup between the Mavericks and the Grizzlies sees the Mavericks as 5-point favorites. The game has an over/under of 239.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: KFAA, FDSSE, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Mavericks 118 - Grizzlies 115

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• The Mavericks have played 17 games with more than 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this year.
• A total of 20 Grizzlies games this season (out of 57) have had more than 239.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 9.6 fewer points per game (229.9) than this matchup's total of 239.5 points.
• The Mavericks and the Grizzlies have seen their opponents average a combined 3.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 239.5 set in this matchup.
• Dallas has been the favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (47.4%) in those contests.
• Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 38 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (23.7%) in those games.
• After the last two head-to-head meetings, Memphis has a 2-0 record against Dallas.
• The Grizzlies also have a 2-0 record against the spread when taking on the Mavericks.
• The Grizzlies have not covered for three games in a row against the point spread, and were favored in one of those contests.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have gone 2-8 over their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.8 points in its last 10 games, 8.7 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Mavericks are 25-32-1 against the spread this year.
• This season, Dallas is winless ATS when entering a game as a favorite of 5 points or more (in seven chances).
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 29 of 57 set point totals.
• The Mavericks score only 3.6 fewer points per game (114.5) than the Grizzlies allow (118.1).
• Dallas is 11-7-1 against the spread and 11-8 overall when scoring more than 118.1 points.
• This season, the Mavericks have a 47.4% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.2% higher than the 47.2% of shots the Grizzlies' opponents have hit.
• The Mavericks have a better record against the spread in home games (15-15-1) than they do in road games (10-17-0).
• When it comes to over/unders, Dallas hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total 16 times in 31 opportunities this season (51.6%). On the road, it has hit the over 13 times in 27 opportunities (48.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.500) compared to away games (.429).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Naji Marshall averages 15.6 points, 5 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• P.J. Washington posts 14.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 1.3 blocks.
• Brandon Williams posts 12.9 points, 2.8 boards and 3.9 assists per game, shooting 47.8% from the field.
• Max Christie puts up 13.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Klay Thompson averages 11.5 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end he averages 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Mavericks Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 7.6 points fewer than the 239.5 total given for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Grizzlies are 25-31-1 this year.
• Memphis has an ATS record of 11-14-1 in its 26 games as an underdog of 5 points or more this season.
• The Grizzlies have hit the over 49.1% of the time this season (28 of 57 games with a set point total).
• The Grizzlies score an average of 115.4 points per game, only 2.5 fewer points than the 117.9 the Mavericks give up to opponents.
• Memphis is 13-10 against the spread and 13-10 overall when it scores more than 117.9 points.
• The Grizzlies' 46% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Mavericks have given up to their opponents.
• Against the spread, the Grizzlies have had better results on the road (13-14-1) than at home (12-17-0) .
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Memphis' games have finished above the over/under at home (55.2%, 16 of 29) compared to on the road (42.9%, 12 of 28).
• The Grizzlies, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (8-6) than on the road (4-1) this year.

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cam Spencer is putting up 11.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest. He's also sinking 47.2% of his shots from the floor and 44% from beyond the arc (eighth in NBA), with 2.1 triples per contest.
• The Grizzlies are receiving 12.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Jaylen Wells this year.
• Walter Clayton Jr. gets the Grizzlies 6.9 points, 2 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Grizzlies are receiving 10.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from GG Jackson this year.
• Taylor Hendricks is putting up 5.8 points, 3.3 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. He is draining 44.2% of his shots from the floor.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.