Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 27

The Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) will attempt to turn around a three-game losing stretch when visiting the Dallas Mavericks (21-37) on February 27, 2026 at American Airlines Center. Dallas is a 6-point favorite against Memphis when the Mavericks square off with the Grizzlies on Friday. The game's over/under is 237.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Mavericks-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: KFAA, FDSSE, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Mavericks 118 - Grizzlies 115

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• The Mavericks have played 18 games with more than 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this season.
• The Grizzlies games have gone over 237.5 total points scored in 21 of 57 total matchups this season.
• The Mavericks and the Grizzlies combine to average 7.6 fewer points per game than the total of 237.5 set for this game.
• The Mavericks and the Grizzlies have seen their opponents average a combined 1.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 237.5 set for this matchup.
• Dallas has won nine, or 47.4%, of the 19 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Memphis has come away with nine wins in the 38 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Memphis holds a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head matchups with Dallas.
• The Grizzlies have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when taking the court against the Mavericks.
• Versus the point spread, the Grizzlies have not covered in three games in a row, and were the favorite in one of those contests.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their past 10 games.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.8 points over its last 10 games, 6.7 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Mavericks are 25-32-1 against the spread this season.
• This season, Dallas is winless ATS when entering a game as a favorite of 6 points or more (in five chances).
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the total in 29 out of 57 opportunities (50.9%).
• The 114.5 points per game the Mavericks put up are only 3.6 fewer points than the Grizzlies allow (118.1).
• Dallas is 11-7-1 against the spread and 11-8 overall when scoring more than 118.1 points.
• The Mavericks make 47.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.2 percentage points higher than the Grizzlies have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
• At home, the Mavericks have a better record against the spread (15-15-1) compared to their ATS record on the road (10-17-0).
• Dallas has exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (51.6%) than road tilts (48.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have picked up the win in six of 12 games at home, good for a .500 winning percentage. They have won three of seven games on the road (.429) as a moneyline favorite.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg posts 20.4 points, 4.1 assists and 6.6 rebounds per contest.
• Naji Marshall averages 15.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• P.J. Washington averages 14.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocks.
• Brandon Williams averages 12.9 points, 3.9 assists and 2.8 boards.
• Max Christie puts up 13.2 points, 3.4 boards and 2.2 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Mavericks Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Memphis and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.6 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Grizzlies are 25-31-1 this season.
• So far this season, Memphis has been installed as underdogs by a 6-point margin or more 22 times and are 9-12-1 ATS in those games.
• Grizzlies games this season have gone over the total in 28 of 57 opportunities (49.1%).
• The Grizzlies' 115.4 points per game are just 2.5 fewer points than the 117.9 the Mavericks give up to opponents.
• Memphis is 13-10 against the spread and 13-10 overall when it scores more than 117.9 points.
• The Grizzlies' 46.0% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Mavericks have given up to their opponents.
• The Grizzlies' winning percentage against the spread at home is .414 (12-17-0). On the road, it is .464 (13-14-1).
• Memphis' games have gone above the over/under 55.2% of the time at home (16 of 29), and 42.9% of the time on the road (12 of 28).
• The Grizzlies, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (8-6) than on the road (4-1) this season.

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cam Spencer generates 11.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game for the Grizzlies.
• The Grizzlies are getting 13.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Cedric Coward this year.
• Santi Aldama gets the Grizzlies 14.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game while putting up 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Jaylen Wells gives the Grizzlies 12.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Walter Clayton Jr. gets the Grizzlies 6.9 points, 2.0 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Dallas Mavericks

Memphis Grizzlies