Heat vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 26

The Miami Heat (12-6) will try to extend a five-game winning streak when hosting the Milwaukee Bucks (8-10) on November 26, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The Heat are currently solid 8.5-point favorites over the Bucks. The game has an over/under of 237.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Heat-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSWI
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (237.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 126 - Bucks 113

Heat vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• The Heat and their opponent have combined to score over 237.5 points, the current matchup's total, in 11 of 18 games this season.
• This year, five of the Bucks' 18 total matchups have gone over 237.5 total points scored.
• These teams average 240.4 points per game combined, 2.9 more than the over/under of 237.5.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 237.2 points per game, 0.3 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Miami has been victorious in five of the six contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Milwaukee has been an underdog in nine games this season and has come away with the win three times (33.3%) in those contests.
• In the last four head-to-head matchups, Milwaukee has a 4-0 record against Miami.
• The Bucks also have a 4-0 advantage against the spread when playing the Heat.
• The Bucks have failed to cover for five consecutive games against the spread, and were the favorite in two of those contests.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 8-2 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span.
• Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 3.8 points more than the 237.5 total given for this matchup.
• In the Heat's 18 games this season, they have 12 wins against the spread.
• Miami has been favored by 8.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Heat games this year have hit the over 61.1% of the time (11 out of 18 games with a set point total).
• The Heat record 123.9 points per game, just 4.6 more points than the 119.3 the Bucks give up.
• Miami is 9-2 against the spread and 8-3 overall when scoring more than 119.3 points.
• The Heat make 48.0% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.3 percentage points higher than the Bucks have allowed to their opponents (47.7%).
• The Heat have done a better job covering the spread at home (7-2-0) than they have in road games (5-3-1).
• Miami has gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (44.4%) than games on the road (77.8%).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 16.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 52.7% from the floor.
• Kel'el Ware posts 12.4 points, 11.0 boards and 0.6 assists per game, shooting 52.4% from the floor and 40.4% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Norman Powell puts up 25.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 50.0% from the floor and 46.4% from downtown (10th in NBA) with 3.2 made 3-pointers per contest (ninth in NBA).
• Davion Mitchell posts 10.3 points, 2.9 rebounds and 7.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 16.7 points, 4.9 boards and 2.8 assists per game. At the other end he averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks.

Heat Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks have two wins against the spread, and are 3-7 overall, in their last 10 games.
• Milwaukee has averaged a total of 230.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.6 less than this matchup's over/under of 237.5.
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 7-11-0 this year.
• Bucks games this year have gone over the total in nine of 18 opportunities (50%).
• The Bucks score an average of 116.5 points per game, just 1.4 fewer points than the 117.9 the Heat give up to opponents.
• Milwaukee has put together a 6-1 ATS record and a 6-1 overall record in games it scores more than 117.9 points.
• The Bucks are shooting 49.3% from the field, 6.2% higher than the 43.1% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Bucks are 5-6-0 at home against the spread (.455 winning percentage). Away, they are 2-5-0 ATS (.286).
• Looking at the over/under, Milwaukee's games have gone over seven of 11 times at home (63.6%), and two of seven on the road (28.6%).
• When moneyline favorites, the Bucks have won a lower percentage of games at home (3-3) than on the road (2-1).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo delivers 31.2 points, 10.8 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game for the Bucks.
• Ryan Rollins is averaging 18.2 points, 4.0 rebounds and 6.0 assists per contest. He's making 49.2% of his shots from the floor and 42.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 treys per game.
• Myles Turner gives the Bucks 12.4 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while delivering 1.1 steals and 1.8 blocked shots (sixth in league).
• The Bucks are getting 13.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma this year.
• The Bucks are receiving 11.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Bobby Portis this season.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.