Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 26

The Atlanta Hawks (15-16) bring a four-game losing streak into a home matchup with the Miami Heat (15-15), who have dropped three straight. The Hawks and the Heat take the court in a game with no line set.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Hawks-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Hawks vs. Heat Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Friday, December 26, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick:
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Hawks 120 - Heat 119

Hawks Recent Trends

• The Hawks have gone 2-8 over their last 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
• In the Hawks' 31 games this season, they have 14 wins against the spread.
• The Hawks have hit the over in 60% of their opportunities this year (18 times over 30 games with a set point total).
• The Hawks record 118.8 points per game, just 1.2 more points than the 117.6 the Heat allow.
• Atlanta is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall when scoring more than 117.6 points.
• The Hawks are shooting 48.3% from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points higher than the 45.2% the Heat allow to opponents.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered four times in 14 games at home, and they've covered 10 times in 17 games on the road.
• Atlanta has exceeded the total in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than away games (64.7%).
• The Hawks have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 2-5 (.286). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 6-4 (.600).

Hawks Recent Stats

Hawks Leaders

• Jalen Johnson puts up 23.8 points, 8.3 assists and 10.5 rebounds per contest.
• Onyeka Okongwu puts up 15.7 points, 3.2 assists and 7.4 rebounds per game.
• Dyson Daniels posts 11.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 2.0 steals (second in league) and 0.4 blocks.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker averages 20.3 points, 3.3 assists and 3.5 boards.
• Zaccharie Risacher averages 11.1 points, 1.6 assists and 3.0 boards.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 2-8 over their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• The Heat have played 30 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• The Heat have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time this season (15 of 30 games with a set point total).
• The Heat put up an average of 119.2 points per game, only 0.4 fewer points than the 119.6 the Hawks allow to opponents.
• Miami has put together an 11-3 ATS record and a 9-5 overall record in games it scores more than 119.6 points.
• The Heat have shot at a 47.0% clip from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points less than the 47.9% shooting opponents of the Hawks have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Heat have an identical winning percentage (.533) at home (8-7-0 record) and on the road (8-6-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami's games have gone over six of 15 times at home (40%), and nine of 15 away (60%).
• This season the Heat are 7-5 at home when moneyline favorites (.583 winning percentage). Away they are 1-1 (.500).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Kel'el Ware gives the Heat 12.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 0.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 15.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr. this season.
• The Heat are getting 23.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Norman Powell this season.
• Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 18.0 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest while delivering 1.0 steal and 0.9 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 15.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Atlanta Hawks

Miami Heat