Grizzlies vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 26

The Memphis Grizzlies (14-16) play the Milwaukee Bucks (12-18) on December 26, 2025. The matchup airs on FDSSE and FDSWI. Memphis is a 5.5-point favorite against Milwaukee when the Grizzlies face off against the Bucks on Friday. The game has an over/under of 226.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Grizzlies-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Grizzlies vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, December 26, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
• TV: FDSSE and FDSWI
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Grizzlies vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (- 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Grizzlies 118 - Bucks 112

Grizzlies vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• The Grizzlies have played 15 games with more than 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
• The Bucks games have gone over 226.5 total points scored in 17 of 30 total matchups this season.
• These teams average 228 points per game combined, 1.5 more than the over/under of 226.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.9 more points per game (232.4) than this matchup's over/under of 226.5 points.
• Memphis has been chosen as the favorite in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (75%) in those games.
• Milwaukee has come away with five wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Memphis holds a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head games against Milwaukee.
• The Grizzlies also have a 2-0 record against the spread when facing the Bucks.

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have gone 6-4 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 6.5 points more than the 226.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Grizzlies have played 30 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• Memphis has been favored by 5.5 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• The Grizzlies have gone over the point total in 36.7% of their opportunities this year (11 times over 30 games with a set point total).
• The Grizzlies record 115.0 points per game, only 1.2 fewer points than the 116.2 the Bucks allow.
• Memphis is 8-5 against the spread and 8-5 overall when scoring more than 116.2 points.
• The Grizzlies make 45.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.6 percentage points lower than the Bucks have allowed to their opponents (47.0%).
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered six times in 14 games when playing at home, and they've covered eight times in 16 games on the road.
• Memphis has hit the over on the over/under in six of 14 home games (42.9%), compared to five of 16 road games (31.2%).
• The Grizzlies have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-3 (.625). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 4-0 (1.000).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Santi Aldama averages 14.4 points, 3.0 assists and 6.6 rebounds per contest.
• Jaren Jackson Jr. puts up 17.8 points, 2.0 assists and 5.3 rebounds per contest.
• Cedric Coward averages 13.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, shooting 46.4% from the floor and 32.1% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• Cam Spencer averages 12.3 points, 4.7 assists and 2.3 rebounds.
• Jock Landale averages 11.0 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end he averages 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Grizzlies Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks have gone 4-6 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to score an average of 222.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 4.0 less than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Bucks' 30 games this season, they have 14 wins against the spread.
• Milwaukee has an against the spread record of 5-3 in its eight games when underdogs by 5.5 points or more this season.
• Bucks games this year have hit the over 36.7% of the time (11 out of 30 games with a set point total).
• The Bucks put up only 3.2 fewer points per game (113.0) than the Grizzlies give up to opponents (116.2).
• Milwaukee has put together a 6-3 ATS record and a 7-2 overall record in games it scores more than 116.2 points.
• The Bucks are shooting 48.7% from the field, 2.0% higher than the 46.7% the Grizzlies' opponents have shot this season.
• The Bucks have been better against the spread at home (8-8-0) than on the road (6-8-0) this year.
• Milwaukee's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (seven times out of 16) than on the road (four of 14) this season.
• When moneyline favorites, the Bucks have won a higher percentage of games at home (4-3) than away (3-3).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins is averaging 17.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.8 assists per contest. He's also draining 47.9% of his shots from the floor and 38.7% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest.
• The Bucks are receiving 12.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Myles Turner this season.
• Bobby Portis is averaging 12.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is draining 48.9% of his shots from the field and 46.6% from 3-point range (fifth in league), with 1.8 triples per game.
• Kyle Kuzma gives the Bucks 13.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• AJ Green gets the Bucks 10.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game while posting 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Memphis Grizzlies

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