Celtics vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 11

The Boston Celtics (15-9) hope to build on a three-game road winning run when visiting the Milwaukee Bucks (10-15) on December 11, 2025. Thursday's matchup between the Celtics and the Bucks features the Celtics as solid 7.5-point favorites. A 226.5-point total is set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: FDSWI and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Celtics vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Bucks (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 118 - Bucks 112

Celtics vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• This season, the Celtics games have finished over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 15 (out of 24) times.
• The Bucks have played in 17 games this season (68% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 226.5 points.
• These two teams average 232.4 points per game combined, 5.9 more than the over/under of 226.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.1 more points per game, 228.6, than this game's over/under of 226.5 points.
• Boston has come away with 10 wins in the 14 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Milwaukee has won in four, or 28.6%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Boston has won each of its last three head-to-head matchups against Milwaukee.
• The Celtics also hold a 2-1 edge against the spread when facing off with the Bucks.
• The Celtics beat the point spread in their previous eight games, and were the favorites in four of those contests.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 9-1 record against the spread during that span.
• Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.1 points in its last 10 games, 1.6 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Celtics have played 24 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, Boston has an against the spread record of 5-2 in its seven games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• Celtics games this year have hit the over on 12 of 25 set point totals.
• The 117.3 points per game the Celtics put up are just 0.7 fewer points than the Bucks allow (118.0).
• Boston is 9-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall when scoring more than 118.0 points.
• This season, the Celtics have a 47.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.1% lower than the 47.4% of shots the Bucks' opponents have made.
• The Celtics have an identical winning percentage against the spread at home (.583) as they do in away games.
• At home, Boston eclipses the over/under 58.3% of the time (seven of 12 games). It has hit the over in 41.7% of road games (five of 12 contests).
• The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-3 (.625). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 5-1 (.833).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown averages 29.1 points, 6.2 boards and 4.9 assists per game, shooting 49.6% from the floor and 36.3% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Derrick White posts 17.5 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 39.3% from the field and 33.8% from downtown with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game (10th in league).
• Payton Pritchard puts up 17.1 points, 5.0 assists and 4.3 boards per contest.
• Neemias Queta averages 10.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.4 blocks.
• Anfernee Simons averages 13.4 points, 2.3 boards and 2.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Milwaukee's average total over the last 10 games is 0.3 points greater than the 226.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Bucks' 25 games this season, they have 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, Milwaukee has two against the spread wins in four games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
• Bucks games this year have eclipsed the over/under 44% of the time (11 out of 25 games with a set point total).
• The Bucks average only 4.5 more points per game (115.1) than the Celtics give up (110.6).
• When it scores more than 110.6 points, Milwaukee is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall.
• The Bucks have shot at a 49.1% clip from the field this season, 4.6 percentage points higher than the 44.5% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Bucks have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 7-7-0 record) than away (.364, 4-7-0).
• Milwaukee's games have gone above the over/under 50% of the time at home (seven of 14), and 36.4% of the time on the road (four of 11).
• The Bucks, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (4-3) than on the road (2-2) this year.

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins puts up 17.5 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game for the Bucks.
• On a per-game basis, Myles Turner gives the Bucks 12.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (sixth in league).
• Kyle Kuzma gets the Bucks 12.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest while posting 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Bucks are getting 11.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Bobby Portis this year.
• AJ Green is averaging 11.3 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He is sinking 48.9% of his shots from the floor and 48.5% from 3-point range (second in NBA), with 3.3 triples per contest (eighth in league).

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Milwaukee Bucks

Boston Celtics