
Bucks vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25
The Milwaukee Bucks (18-26) will look to halt a three-game home losing streak when taking on the Dallas Mavericks (19-27) on January 25, 2026 at Fiserv Forum. Milwaukee is a small 2.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Bucks play the Mavericks on Sunday. A 218.5-point total has been set for the game.
Check out everything you need to know about the Bucks-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Bucks vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- TV: KFAA and FDSWI
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | -2.5 | -110 | -110 | 218.5 | -110 | -110 | -142 | +120 |
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Bucks vs. Mavericks Prediction
ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (218.5)
Score Prediction: Bucks 116 - Mavericks 113
Bucks vs. Mavericks Betting Insights
- Bucks games have gone over 218.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 28 times (out of 44) this year.
- The Mavericks games have gone over 218.5 total points scored in 33 of 46 total matchups this season.
- The two teams average a combined 7.7 more points per game, 226.2, than this game's over/under of 218.5 points.
- Opponents of the two teams average a combined 13.5 more points per game, 232, than this game's over/under of 218.5 points.
- Milwaukee has won 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
- Dallas has been an underdog in 29 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (37.9%) in those contests.
- Milwaukee has won its one head-to-head matchup against Dallas.
- The Mavericks have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when hitting the court against the Bucks.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 games.
- Milwaukee's average total over the last 10 games is 7.4 points more than the 218.5 total given for this matchup.
- The Bucks are 19-25-0 against the spread this season.
- This season, Milwaukee has an against the spread record of 6-8 in its 14 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
- The Bucks have gone over the point total in 37% of their opportunities this year (17 times in 46 games with a set point total).
- The Bucks average only 4.6 fewer points per game (111.9) than the Mavericks give up (116.5).
- Milwaukee has a 7-4 record against the spread and a 9-2 record overall when scoring more than 116.5 points.
- This season, the Bucks have a 48.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.9% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
- The Bucks have done a better job covering the spread in road games (11-12-0) than they have at home (8-13-0).
- Milwaukee has eclipsed the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in 10 of 21 home matchups (47.6%). In road games, it has hit the over in seven of 23 games (30.4%).
- The Bucks have performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 5-6, compared to going 5-4 in road games.
Bucks Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 111.9 | 27 |
| Points Allowed | 115.5 | 13 |
| Rebounds | 40.6 | 28 |
| Assists | 26.2 | 14 |
| Steals | 7.8 | 20 |
| Blocks | 4.1 | 26 |
Bucks Leaders
- Ryan Rollins averages 16.1 points, 5.4 assists and 4.5 rebounds per contest.
- Myles Turner posts 12.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 1.6 blocks (seventh in NBA).
- Bobby Portis posts 13.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, shooting 48.6% from the floor and 46.5% from downtown (third in NBA) with 2.0 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Kyle Kuzma averages 12.5 points, 2.2 assists and 4.6 rebounds.
- AJ Green puts up 10.5 points, 2.6 boards and 2.0 assists per contest, shooting 44.5% from the floor and 43.7% from downtown (10th in NBA) with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game (10th in league).
Bucks Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins | 20.5 | -112 | 16.1 |
| Bobby Portis | 16.5 | -125 | 13.1 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 15.5 | +102 | 12.5 |
| Myles Turner | 14.5 | -114 | 12.4 |
| AJ Green | 11.5 | -106 | 10.5 |
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
- Dallas has averaged a total of 233.0 combined points in its last 10 games, 14.5 greater than this game's total of 218.5.
- The Mavericks have 20 wins against the spread in 46 games this year.
- This year, Dallas has an ATS record of 15-11 in its 26 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
- Mavericks games this year have gone over the total in 22 of 46 opportunities (47.8%).
- The Mavericks put up an average of 114.3 points per game, only 1.2 fewer points than the 115.5 the Bucks give up to opponents.
- Dallas is 10-6-1 against the spread and 12-5 overall when it scores more than 115.5 points.
- The Mavericks are shooting 47.3% from the field, 0.6% higher than the 46.7% the Bucks' opponents have shot this season.
- In 2025-26 against the spread, the Mavericks have a better winning percentage at home (.538, 14-11-1 record) than away (.300, 6-14-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over more often at home (13 of 26, 50%) than on the road (nine of 20, 45%).
- The Mavericks' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .545 (6-5), and on the road it is .333 (2-4).
Mavericks Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 114.3 | 23 |
| Points Allowed | 116.5 | 19 |
| Rebounds | 44.9 | 10 |
| Assists | 25.4 | 18 |
| Steals | 7.7 | 22 |
| Blocks | 5.7 | 5 |
Mavericks Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Cooper Flagg gets the Mavericks 18.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
- On a per-game basis, Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 14.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.0 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
- P.J. Washington is putting up 14.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He is making 45.1% of his shots from the floor and 31.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per contest.
- Max Christie is averaging 13.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is making 48.3% of his shots from the field and 45.5% from beyond the arc (seventh in league), with 2.6 triples per game.
- Brandon Williams is averaging 12.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. He is draining 45.6% of his shots from the field.
Mavericks Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 19.5 | -106 | 18.8 |
| Naji Marshall | 17.5 | -106 | 14.7 |
| Max Christie | 15.5 | -118 | 13.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 12.5 | -114 | 12.4 |
| P.J. Washington | 11.5 | -132 | 14.1 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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