Yankees vs. Red Sox AL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

The AL Wild Card Series resumes Wednesday at 6:08 p.m. ET when the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox live on ESPN from Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox will look to move on to the ALDS while the Yankees hope to extend the series with a win. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -194 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +160 moneyline odds to win. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees leave bases loaded in Game 1 loss to Red Sox, Who’s to blame? | The Herd

The Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees 3-1 in the AL Wild Card. Colin Cowherd asks if lineup decisions or cold bats are to blame.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 1, 2025 at 6:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Red Sox 46%

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 84, or 60%, of the 140 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York is 28-12 this season when entering a game favored by -194 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 66%.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in 30, or 50.8%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +160 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 38.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have an 8-2 record over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.331), home runs (53), and RBI (114).
• Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Judge carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .389 with a double, five home runs, eight walks and 10 RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks.
• Bellinger ranks 34th in homers and 17th in RBI on the year.
• Bellinger has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .250 with seven walks and an RBI.
• Trent Grisham is batting .235 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks.
• Ben Rice is hitting .255 with 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .256 with 41 doubles, 13 triples, 16 home runs and 60 walks.
• In all of MLB, Duran is 127th in homers and 43rd in RBI.
• Trevor Story's 25 home runs, 96 runs batted in and .263 batting average are all tops in the lineup.
• Story ranks 50th in home runs and 19th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Alex Bregman is batting .273 with 28 doubles, 18 home runs and 51 walks.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .249 with 34 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 28 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Yankees leave bases loaded in Game 1 loss to Red Sox, Who’s to blame? | The Herd

The Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees 3-1 in the AL Wild Card. Colin Cowherd asks if lineup decisions or cold bats are to blame.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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