Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays hit the field on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium against Max Fried, who is projected to start for the New York Yankees. First pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET for the second game of a four-game series. The Yankees have been listed as -190 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Rays (+158). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +106 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -120 odds on the over and -101 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: TBS, YES, and FDSSUN

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Rays 46%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 50, or 55.6%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 17-9 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -190 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 65.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Rays have been victorious in 22, or 44%, of the 50 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won one of three games when listed as at least +158 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 1-4 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Yankees' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Cody Bellinger is hitting .281 with 20 doubles, four triples, 19 home runs and 31 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Bellinger ranks 33rd in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
• Bellinger carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a triple, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Paul Goldschmidt has 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 30 walks while batting .283.
• Goldschmidt ranks 172nd in home runs and 156th in RBI on the year.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .213 with 22 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks.
• Trent Grisham is batting .248 with nine doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 45 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rays are 2-8-0 against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz has 19 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .283.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Diaz's home run total is 38th and his RBI tally ranks 28th.
• Caminero has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 27 home runs and 70 RBI.
• Caminero ranks sixth overall in home runs and 13th in RBI this season.
• Jonathan Aranda has a team-best batting average of .314.
• Chandler Simpson has eight doubles, a triple and 13 walks while batting .302.

Rays Team Props

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Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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