Yankees vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 24

Updated May. 24, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

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Jurickson Profar will lead the San Diego Padres into a matchup with Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at PETCO Park. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -115 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Padres -105 moneyline odds. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +150 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 24, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: YES

Yankees vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Padres 49%

Yankees vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 37 times this season and won 26, or 70.3%, of those games.
• New York has entered 37 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 26-11 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 53.5% chance to win.
• The Padres have won in 11, or 50%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, San Diego has been victorious 10 times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYY 8 · SD 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Yankees

NYY

-1.5

-124

o7

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+103

u7

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 6-2 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Juan Soto comes into Friday's game hitting .312 with 41 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Yankees. He has also connected on 13 round-trippers in 2024.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Soto ranks fifth in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Soto has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Judge has shown off his power as he paces his team with 15 home runs.
• Judge is third in home runs and 11th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Judge has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .375 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and five RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .256 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Verdugo will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, a home run and six RBI.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .278 with nine doubles, two triples, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Volpe is riding a 16-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .326 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 3-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar is batting .337 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .431.
• Profar ranks 49th in homers and 19th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Profar carries a 12-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .412 with two doubles, a home run, nine walks and five RBI.
• Luis Arraez has a club-leading .341 batting average.
• Arraez ranks 289th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 218th in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has been a significant run producer for the Padres with eight home runs and 34 runs batted in.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has a team-high eight home runs.

Padres Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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