Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays hit the field against Cody Bellinger and the New York Yankees at Rogers Centre on Monday at 7:07 p.m. ET. The favored Yankees have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Blue Jays, who are listed at +100. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Giants vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Francisco Giants and the Toronto Blue Jays.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 21, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to watch on TV: SNET and YES

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Blue Jays 49%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 86 times and won 50, or 58.1%, of those games.
• New York has entered 82 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 47-35 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 54.5% chance to win.
• The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (56.6%) in those contests.
• Toronto has a mark of 23-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Yankees have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (36), runs batted in (82) and has a team-best batting average of .352.
• In all of MLB, Judge ranks second in homers and third in RBI.
• Judge brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBIs.
• Bellinger is hitting .280 with 18 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
• Bellinger ranks 37th in homers and 34th in RBI in the bigs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .289 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 29 walks.
• Goldschmidt will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with three doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Trent Grisham is batting .255 with eight doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 43 walks.
• Grisham has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, four walks and five RBIs.

Yankees Team Props

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Blue Jays have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Blue Jays are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero is batting .278 with 19 doubles, 13 home runs and 58 walks.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Guerrero's home run total ranks 76th and his RBI tally ranks 67th.
• George Springer has collected a team-high 17 home runs.
• Springer ranks 37th overall in homers and 45th in RBI this year.
• Bo Bichette has collected a team-best 55 runs batted in.
• Alejandro Kirk paces the Blue Jays with a team-high batting average of .306.

Blue Jays Team Props

Giants vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Francisco Giants and the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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