
Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16
Juan Soto and the New York Mets will hit the field against the Minnesota Twins and starter David Festa on Wednesday. First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET at Target Field. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -121, while the underdog Mets have +102 odds to upset. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this contest.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Mets vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Twins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, April 16, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to watch on TV: MNNT and SNY
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -121 | +102 | 8 | -118 | -102 | -1.5 | +169 | -210 |
Twins vs. Mets Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Mets 48%
Twins vs. Mets Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.
- Minnesota has a record of 3-4 when favored by -121 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- The Mets have won in two of the four contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Oddsmakers have given New York the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +102 moneyline listed for this contest.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-4 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Twins are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Twins Player Insights
- Ty France is the Twins best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .270 clip along with two homers and nine RBI.
- France ranks 90th in home runs and 65th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Byron Buxton's three home runs lead his team.
- Buxton is 49th in homers and 111th in RBI in the majors.
- Matt Wallner is hitting .263 with five doubles, two triples, a home run and nine walks.
- Wallner will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a triple, a walk and an RBI.
- Harrison Bader's three home runs and 11 RBI both pace his team.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-150) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Ty France | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (-210) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (-155) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-175) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 (-125) | 0.5 (-130) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
- The Mets are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.56 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Mets Player Insights
- Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (five), runs batted in (20) and has put up a team-best batting average of .356.
- Alonso is 11th in homers and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Soto is batting .250 with four doubles, three home runs and 14 walks.
- Soto ranks 49th in home runs and 111th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Brandon Nimmo is hitting .200 with three doubles, four home runs and five walks.
- Francisco Lindor is batting .234 with four doubles, a home run and five walks.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
| Luisangel Acuna | 0.5 (-190) | 0.5 (-195) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
Mets vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
World Baseball Classic Preview: Team Breakdowns, Top Players, Predictions
Mexico's Best World Baseball Classic Lineup: Big Bats Can Make A Deep Run
Konnor Griffin, MLB's No. 1 Prospect, Hits 2 Home Runs In Pirates Game
MLB Spring Training Buzz: Tigers Defer $31M In Pitcher Contracts to 2039
Puerto Rico's Best World Baseball Classic Lineup: Edwin Diaz Leads Bullpen
2026 World Baseball Classic Broadcast Schedule: How To Watch Every Game on FOX
2026 World Baseball Classic News: Skubal Will Only Make 1 Start For Team USA
2026 MLB Power Rankings: Where Do All 30 Teams Stand Before Spring Training?
How to Watch 2026 World Baseball Classic: Streaming, Teams, Dates
World Baseball Classic Preview: Team Breakdowns, Top Players, Predictions
Mexico's Best World Baseball Classic Lineup: Big Bats Can Make A Deep Run
Konnor Griffin, MLB's No. 1 Prospect, Hits 2 Home Runs In Pirates Game
MLB Spring Training Buzz: Tigers Defer $31M In Pitcher Contracts to 2039
Puerto Rico's Best World Baseball Classic Lineup: Edwin Diaz Leads Bullpen
2026 World Baseball Classic Broadcast Schedule: How To Watch Every Game on FOX
2026 World Baseball Classic News: Skubal Will Only Make 1 Start For Team USA
2026 MLB Power Rankings: Where Do All 30 Teams Stand Before Spring Training?
How to Watch 2026 World Baseball Classic: Streaming, Teams, Dates

