Tigers vs. Mariners ALDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Tigers vs. Mariners ALDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5

Updated Oct. 5, 2025 8:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The ALDS resumes Sunday at 8:03 p.m. ET when the Detroit Tigers visit the Seattle Mariners live on Fox Sports 1 from T-Mobile Park. The Tigers will look to move one step closer to the ALCS while the Mariners hope to even up the series with a win. Bookmakers list the Tigers as -154 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mariners +129 moneyline odds. Detroit is a 1.5-run favorite (at +132 odds). A 5.5-run over/under has been set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners' Julio Rodríguez drives in a run to tie game vs. Tigers

Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodríguez drove in a run to tie the game vs. the Detroit Tigers.

Tigers vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:03 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers -154 +129 5.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +132 -158

Tigers vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 5.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Tigers 54%, Mariners 46%

Tigers vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have won 64, or 56.6%, of the 113 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Detroit has entered 58 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 39-19 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
  • The Mariners have won in 23, or 47.9%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Seattle has won four of nine games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 43.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers went 1-2 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Tigers combined with their opponents to go over the total two times.
  • The Tigers have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 7
ERA 2.79
K/9 9.2

Tigers Player Insights

  • Gleyber Torres is hitting .256 with 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 85 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Torres is 77th in batting average, 23rd in on-base percentage, and 118th in slugging.
  • Torres carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .136 with a double.
  • Riley Greene's 36 home runs and 111 runs batted in are both team-highs.
  • Greene ranks 10th in homers and seventh in RBI on the season.
  • Greene has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Spencer Torkelson has 27 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .240.
  • Zach McKinstry's .259 batting average leads his team.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Zach McKinstry 0.5 (-135) - - 0.5 (+284)
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-139) - - 0.5 (+237)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-161) - - 0.5 (+207)
Parker Meadows 0.5 (-104) - - 0.5 (+323)
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-159) - - 0.5 (+197)

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mariners had a record of 2-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Mariners are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 16
ERA 3.03
K/9 10.6

Mariners Player Insights

  • Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners in home runs (60) and runs batted in (125).
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Raleigh is first in homers and third in RBI.
  • Julio Rodriguez is hitting .267 with 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Rodriguez is 17th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 20th in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has accumulated a team-high batting average of .295.
  • Eugenio Suarez is hitting .228 with 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Victor Robles 0.5 (-102) - - 0.5 (+467)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-125) - - 0.5 (+316)
Mitch Garver 0.5 (+117) - - 0.5 (+373)
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-157) - - 0.5 (+277)
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-102) - - 0.5 (+433)

Tigers' Zach McKinstry drives in go-ahead run in 11th inning vs. Mariners

Zach McKinstry drove in the go-ahead run in the 11th inning against the Seattle Mariners.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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