Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 10

Agustin Ramirez and the Miami Marlins head into a matchup with TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday at 5:10 p.m. ET. The Reds are -167 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Marlins (+139). Cincinnati is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total is set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 10, 2025 at 5:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSFL

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Marlins 45%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Reds have won 19, or 48.7%, of the 39 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Cincinnati has entered eight games this season favored by -167 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
• The Reds have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have come away with 37 wins in the 80 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 14-18 when favored by +139 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 41.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have a 2-3 record over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
• The Reds' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds in home runs (18) and runs batted in (62).
• De La Cruz is 22nd in home runs and 13th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Friedl has a club-best .278 batting average.
• Among all MLB batters, Friedl is 145th in homers and 147th in RBI.
• Friedl has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with a double and two walks.
• Spencer Steer is batting .252 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 23 walks.
• Gavin Lux has 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 38 walks while hitting .261.

Reds Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez is hitting .249 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .318.
• In all of the big leagues, Lopez is 134th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Lopez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Kyle Stowers has hit 16 home runs with 48 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Stowers is 36th overall in home runs and 55th in RBI this year.
• Ramirez is batting .249 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
• Xavier Edwards leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .288.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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