Reds vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 17

TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds hit the field against Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners on Thursday at 12:40 p.m. ET, in the final of a three-game series at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are the favorite in this one, at -130, while the underdog Mariners have +111 odds to play spoiler. Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +156 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and the Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 17, 2025 at 12:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and ROOT Sports NW

Reds vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 56%, Mariners 44%

Reds vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• The Reds have been favorites in six games this season and won four (66.7%) of those contests.
• Cincinnati has a record of 2-1 when favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 56.5% chance to win.
• The Mariners have come away with three wins in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Seattle has been listed as an underdog of +111 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds won each of the three games it played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Reds' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds in home runs (three) and runs batted in (18).
• Including all MLB hitters, De La Cruz is 99th in batting average, 123rd in on-base percentage, and 87th in slugging.
• Friedl has two doubles, a home run and five walks while batting .254.
• Friedl ranks 140th in homers in MLB, and 145th in RBI.
• Jose Trevino is batting .294 with three doubles, a home run and three walks.
• Trevino is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
• Matt McLain's three home runs lead his team.

Reds Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 2-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Mariners are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Raleigh has recorded a team-best batting average of .217, and paces the Mariners in long balls with seven.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Raleigh's home run total is second and his RBI tally is 52nd.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .194 with five doubles, three home runs and 14 walks.
• Arozarena ranks 52nd in home runs and 35th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Julio Rodriguez is hitting .188 with a double, two triples, three home runs and 11 walks.
• Dylan Moore is hitting .325 with a double, four home runs and four walks.

Mariners Team Props

Mariners vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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