Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 3

Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox will look to find success Bailey Ober when he takes the mound for the Minnesota Twins on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, in the second game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. Bookmakers list the Red Sox as -122 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Twins +102 moneyline odds. Boston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1, NESN, and MNNT

Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Twins 46%

Red Sox vs. Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won 15 out of the 26 games, or 57.7%, in which they've been favored.
• Boston has entered 18 games this season favored by -122 or more and is 10-8 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 55% chance to win.
• The Twins have won in two of the 10 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Minnesota has been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox went 5-4 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
• The Red Sox have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Alexander Bregman paces the Red Sox in home runs (eight), runs batted in (27) and has put up a team-high batting average of .331.
• In all of MLB, Bregman ranks 14th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Bregman takes a hitting streak of 12 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with six doubles, four home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu is batting .275 with six doubles, six home runs and 21 walks.
• Abreu ranks 34th in home runs and 24th in RBI on the season.
• Jarren Duran has eight doubles, three triples, two home runs and 10 walks while hitting .276.
• Duran is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .370 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, three walks and seven RBI.
• Rafael Devers is hitting .242 with 11 doubles, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Devers has recorded at least one hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .308 with four doubles, three home runs, seven walks and nine RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
• The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Ty France leads the Twins with 18 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .271.
• In all of MLB, France ranks 120th in home runs and 38th in RBI.
• Byron Buxton has collected a team-high six home runs.
• Among all major league batters, Buxton ranks 34th in homers and 48th in RBI.
• Trevor Larnach has two doubles, four home runs and 15 walks while hitting .228.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .259 with seven doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

Twins Team Props

Twins vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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