Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Pierson Ohl will take the mound for the Minnesota Twins against the Boston Red Sox and Alex Bregman on Tuesday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The favored Red Sox have -125 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Twins, who are listed at +105. Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +131 odds). A 9-run over/under has been set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and NESN

Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Twins 49%

Red Sox vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won 38, or 58.5%, of the 65 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Boston has a record of 22-18 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Twins have been victorious in 14, or 40%, of the 35 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Minnesota has been victorious eight times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite for three of their last 10 games, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .259 with 27 doubles, 12 triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.
• Duran's home runs put him 150th in the majors, and he ranks 53rd in RBI.
• Duran carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, two triples, three walks and four RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .262 to pace his team.
• Rafaela is 80th in home runs in baseball, and 79th in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu has hit a team-high 20 home runs.
• Bregman is hitting .300 with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
• Bregman is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Twins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Byron Buxton leads the Twins in home runs (23), runs batted in (59) and has a team-best batting average of .282.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Buxton is 13th in homers and 37th in RBI.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .243 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
• Larnach is 95th in home runs and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ty France has 19 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks while batting .252.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .265 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 26 walks.

Twins Team Props

Twins’ Byron Buxton hits a 479-foot three-run homer vs. Rangers

Minnesota Twins’ Byron Buxton hit a 479-foot three-run homer against the Texas Rangers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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