Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 13

Brayan Bello and Ryan Pepiot are the projected starters when the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays play on Sunday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -120, while the underdog Rays have +100 odds to upset. Tampa Bay (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the matchup (with -112 odds on the over and -107 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 13, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NESN, and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Rays 48%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 61 times and won 35, or 57.4%, of those games.
• This season Boston has won 25 of its 44 games, or 56.8%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 46 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (45.7%) in those games.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won 17 of 32 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 9-1 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
• The Red Sox are 8-2-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is hitting .258 with 25 doubles, 10 triples, eight home runs and 29 walks.
• In all of the majors, Duran is 151st in home runs and 51st in RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has a club-high .271 batting average.
• Rafaela is 68th in home runs and 68th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Rafaela enters this game looking for his 10th game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with six doubles, four home runs, a walk and 13 RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu has launched a team-high 18 home runs.
• Trevor Story has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 57 RBI.
• Story has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 2-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Rays have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Junior Caminero leads the Rays with 23 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 60.
• Caminero ranks ninth in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Yandy Diaz has 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 29 walks while batting .283.
• Diaz ranks 56th overall in homers and 41st in RBI this year.
• Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with a team-high batting average of .327.
• Jake Mangum is hitting .307 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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