Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 12

Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox will take on Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, in the third game of a four-game series. The Red Sox are listed as -184 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Rays (+153). Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the contest (with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 53%, Rays 47%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 60 games this season and won 34 (56.7%) of those contests.
• Boston is 8-3 this season when entering a game favored by -184 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 64.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Rays have been victorious in 21, or 46.7%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 39.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox went 9-1 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Red Sox are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Ceddanne Rafaela is the Red Sox best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .271 rate along with 13 homers and 46 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Rafaela is 67th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Rafaela brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with seven doubles, four home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.
• Jarren Duran has 24 doubles, 10 triples, eight home runs and 28 walks while batting .257.
• Duran ranks 149th in home runs and 51st in RBI on the year.
• Abreu has a team-high 18 homers.
• Trevor Story's 57 runs batted in lead his team.

Red Sox Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Caminero leads the Rays with 23 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 60.
• Caminero's home run total places him ninth in MLB, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
• Caminero has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with two home runs and three RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz is hitting .283 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 29 walks.
• Diaz is currently 56th in homers and 38th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with a team-best batting average of .327.
• Jake Mangum is hitting .313 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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