Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Romy Gonzalez and the Boston Red Sox will take on Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET, in the second game of a four-game series. Oddsmakers list the Red Sox as -116 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rays -103 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). A 9-run total is set for this game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 11, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Rays 48%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 33 (55.9%) of those contests.
• Boston has a record of 31-21, a 59.6% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Rays have been victorious in 21, or 47.7%, of the 44 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay has a mark of 19-19 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 8-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.
• The Red Sox have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .260 with 24 doubles, 10 triples, eight home runs and 28 walks.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Duran is 147th in homers and 48th in RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela's .268 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Rafaela ranks 74th in home runs and 77th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Rafaela heads into this game looking for his eighth game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .378 with eight doubles, three home runs, two walks and 11 RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu paces the Red Sox with 18 home runs.
• Trevor Story has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 57 runs batted in.

Red Sox Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 2-4.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Caminero leads the Rays with 23 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 59.
• Caminero's home run total puts him ninth in MLB, and he is 16th in RBI.
• Yandy Diaz is hitting .287 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 28 walks.
• Diaz ranks 52nd overall in homers and 32nd in RBI this year.
• Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays' lineup with a .326 batting average.
• Jake Mangum is batting .309 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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