Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

The Boston Red Sox versus Baltimore Orioles game on Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Alex Bregman and Gunnar Henderson. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -148, while the underdog Orioles have +124 odds to win. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +140 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for the game (with -122 odds to hit the over and +102 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, August 19, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and MASN

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Orioles 43%

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 75 times this season and won 44, or 58.7%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 16-12 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 59.7% chance to win.
• The Orioles have won in 31, or 47%, of the 66 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious nine times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 2-3 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has a team-best batting average of .263.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Duran's home run total ranks him 134th, and his RBI tally puts him 33rd.
• Duran has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .214 with three doubles, three walks and four RBIs.
• Trevor Story's 79 runs batted in lead his team.
• Story is 52nd in homers and 17th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .252 with 25 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
• Bregman is hitting .302 with 23 doubles, 16 home runs and 34 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Orioles are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson leads the Orioles with 15 home runs and 57 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .281.
• Henderson ranks 95th in home runs and 75th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Jackson Holliday's 15 home runs pace his team.
• Holliday is 95th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 124th in RBI.
• Jordan Westburg has 15 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Adley Rutschman has 16 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 37 walks while hitting .227.

Orioles Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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