Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 26

Shane Baz is starting for the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Oddsmakers list the Rays as -124 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +104 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +126 odds). The game's over/under is set at 10 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals!

Rays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, June 26, 2025 at 2:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSSUN

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 52%, Royals 48%

Rays vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 27, or 61.4%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 18-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 55.4%.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (47.9%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a mark of 14-20 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays went 5-1 across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Rays' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Junior Caminero has gone yard 19 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 50 runs, both totals that lead the Rays.
• Caminero's home runs rank him 10th in MLB, and he ranks 23rd in RBI.
• Yandy Diaz has 16 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 22 walks while batting .289.
• Diaz ranks 46th in homers and 38th in RBI on the season.
• Diaz enters this game looking for his 16th game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .452 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Lowe has 10 doubles, 15 home runs and 20 walks while hitting .268.
• Lowe has at least one base hit in 12 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Jonathan Aranda's .331 batting average paces his team.
• Aranda has recorded at least one hit in 10 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with three doubles, three walks and four RBIs.

Rays Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .282 with 27 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 26 walks.
• Witt's home run total puts him 84th in MLB, and he is 60th in RBI.
• Garcia's .310 batting average paces his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Garcia is 123rd in homers and 81st in RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with 11 home runs and 42 runs batted in.
• Jonathan India is batting .236 with 14 doubles, four home runs and 29 walks.

Royals Team Props

Rays vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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