Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays head into the first of a three-game series against Alex Verdugo and the Boston Red Sox at Tropicana Field, Monday at 4:10 PM ET. The favored Rays have -123 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +103. Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The total is 8 runs for the game.

The Tampa Bay Rays will give the start to Aaron Civale (7-3, 2.64 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello (10-8, 3.57 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 4, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 57%, Red Sox 43%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 112 times and won 73, or 65.2%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has entered 100 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 69-31 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (51.4%) in those games.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 26 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 6-3 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Rays' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

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Rays Player Insights

• Diaz's .322 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes 18 homers and driven in 67 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Diaz is 85th in home runs and 60th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .262 with 15 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 69 walks.
• Arozarena ranks 52nd in homers and 32nd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Arozarena carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .270 with two doubles, two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 27 home runs and 85 runs batted in.
• Paredes will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a home run and five RBI.
• Josh Lowe has 23 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 24 walks while batting .284.
• Lowe has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 2-3.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Justin Turner is hitting .285 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 45 walks.
• Turner is 41st in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Rafael Devers been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 29 home runs and 91 RBI.
• Devers ranks 16th overall in homers and seventh in RBI this year.
• Masataka Yoshida has put up a team-best batting average of .296.
• Verdugo is hitting .276 with 34 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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