Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Cal Quantrill will be on the hill for the Miami Marlins when they take on Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday at 1:40 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Rays as -161 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +136 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +102 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -119 odds on the over and -101 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins.

Rays vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and FDSSUN

Rays vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Rays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 50%, Marlins 50%

Rays vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 11 (45.8%) of those contests.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 4-4 when favored by -161 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Marlins have come away with 13 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 2-2 record across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
• The Rays' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz is hitting .243 with eight doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
• In all of the majors, Diaz is 74th in homers and 64th in RBI.
• Diaz carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .150 with a walk and three RBIs.
• Jonathan Aranda has a club-best .321 batting average.
• Aranda is 74th in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Junior Caminero has hit a team-high eight homers.
• Brandon Lowe's 24 runs batted in lead his team.

Rays Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Kyle Stowers leads the lineup with a batting average of .304, and leads the Marlins in home runs, with 10 and runs batted in with 30.
• In all of the majors, Stowers is 17th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• Stowers has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .421 with a double, a triple, three home runs, a walk and four RBIs.
• Xavier Edwards has three doubles, a triple and 19 walks while batting .263.
• Among all MLB hitters, Edwards ranks 340th in homers and 220th in RBI.
• Eric Wagaman has nine doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks while batting .240.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .263 with 10 doubles, five home runs and seven walks.

Marlins Team Props

Rays vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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