Pirates vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Nick Gonzales and the Pittsburgh Pirates will take on Gleyber Torres and the Detroit Tigers at PNC Park on Monday. The favored Pirates have -129 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +108. Pittsburgh is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +173 odds). A 7-run over/under is set for this contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Tigers vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers.

Pirates vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 21, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and FDSDET

Pirates vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 4, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 52%, Tigers 48%

Pirates vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Pirates have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 12 (42.9%) of those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a record of 5-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Tigers have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (45.5%) in those contests.
• This season, Detroit has come away with a win six times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Pirates were the moneyline favorite three times, but they lost each matchup.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Pirates have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has gone yard 16 times this season, the highest mark on the Pirates, while hitting .214 with 39 RBI.
• Cruz is 46th in home runs and 111th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .255 to pace his team.
• McCutchen ranks 155th in homers and 177th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• McCutchen carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double and two walks.
• Bryan Reynolds has sent home a team-best 46 runs batted in.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .276 with 12 doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Tigers have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Torres paces the Tigers with a .282 batting average.
• In all of the big leagues, Torres ranks 144th in homers and 80th in RBI.
• Riley Greene has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 25 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
• Greene is eighth in homers and fifth in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Spencer Torkelson is hitting .233 with 20 doubles, 21 home runs and 46 walks.
• Zach McKinstry is batting .279 with 14 doubles, eight triples, eight home runs and 36 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Tigers vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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