Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 13

Aaron Nola will start for the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday against Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET for this final game in a three-game series. The favored Phillies have -112 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at -107. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Boston Red Sox.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, June 13, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Red Sox 49%

Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 40, or 70.2%, of the 57 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 38-17, a 69.1% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 52.8% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (48.5%) in those contests.
• This year, Boston has won 16 of 31 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total one time.
• The Phillies are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper has homered 15 times this season, the highest mark on the Phillies, while hitting .282 with 46 RBI.
• Among all batters in MLB, Harper is 11th in homers and 13th in RBI.
• Harper has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
• Alec Bohm's 52 RBI and .286 batting average both pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Bohm is 116th in home runs and fifth in RBI.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .248 with eight doubles, two triples, five home runs and 30 walks.
• Stott has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has four doubles, 13 home runs and 49 walks while hitting .241.
• Schwarber is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two home runs, three walks and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is hitting .269 with 18 doubles, 10 triples, five home runs and 26 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .335.
• Duran ranks 152nd in home runs and 93rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Duran carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, a triple, three walks and an RBI.
• Devers' 13 home runs and .282 batting average are both lineup-highs.
• Devers is 18th in homers and 55th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Ceddanne Rafaela paces the Red Sox with 37 runs batted in.
• Connor Wong is hitting .329 with six doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Phillies vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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