Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will hit the field against the Boston Red Sox and Jarren Duran on Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET, at Citizens Bank Park. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -163 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Red Sox +137 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +133 odds). An 8.5-run over/under is set in the game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 23, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Red Sox 47%

Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 80 times and won 51, or 63.7%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 30-12, a 71.4% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62%.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (40.5%) in those games.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 5-6 when favored by +137 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• The Phillies' best power option comes in the form of Schwarber and his 33-homer 75-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber is fifth in home runs and eighth in RBI.
• Trea Turner's .288 batting average paces his team.
• Turner is 113th in home runs and 99th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Bryce Harper has 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 45 walks while batting .272.
• Harper will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .421 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos has 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .270.
• Castellanos is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with two walks and three RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .271.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Rafaela ranks 65th in homers and 70th in RBI.
• Duran is hitting .257 with 25 doubles, 10 triples, nine home runs and 34 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Duran is 145th in homers and 56th in RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 20 long balls.
• Trevor Story has put up a team-leading 59 runs batted in.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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