
Padres vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30
The San Diego Padres and Gavin Sheets will hit the field against the Minnesota Twins and Trevor Larnach at Target Field on Saturday, with the first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET. The favored Padres have -125 moneyline odds against the underdog Twins, who are listed at +106. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +133 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game (with -120 odds to hit the over and +100 odds on the under).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Padres vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Padres vs. Twins Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to watch on TV: MNNT and SDPA
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -125 | +106 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 | -1.5 | +133 | -159 |
Padres vs. Twins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Padres 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Twins 50%
Padres vs. Twins Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 71 games this season and won 43 (60.6%) of those contests.
- This season San Diego has won 36 of its 59 games, or 61%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- The Twins have won in 21, or 38.9%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Minnesota has been victorious 12 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres went 3-1 over the four games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
- The Padres have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Padres Player Insights
- Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .265 with 27 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 79 walks.
- Including all MLB batters, Tatis is 57th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and 75th in slugging.
- Tatis brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.
- Manny Machado's 21 home runs, 78 RBI and .285 batting average all pace his team.
- Machado ranks 51st in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Luis Arraez is batting .283 with 29 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 26 walks.
- Ramon Laureano has put his power on display as he leads his team with 21 home runs.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Jose Iglesias | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Manny Machado | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+120) |
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
- The Twins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 6.72 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Twins Player Insights
- Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 27 home runs and 66 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .269.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Buxton's home run total ranks 17th and his RBI tally is 60th.
- Larnach is batting .246 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 45 walks.
- Larnach ranks 94th in home runs and 111th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
- Brooks Lee has 13 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks while batting .246.
- Ryan Jeffers is hitting .261 with 24 doubles, nine home runs and 44 walks.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Keaschall | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Taj Bradley | - | - | - | - |
| Edouard Julien | - | - | - | - |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-170) | - | - | 0.5 (+205) |
Padres vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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