
Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12
Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres hit the field against Mickey Moniak and the Colorado Rockies on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the second of a four-game series at PETCO Park. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -273, while the underdog Rockies have +221 odds to play spoiler. San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for this game.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rockies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Reds vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
Padres vs. Rockies Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, September 12, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch on TV: SDPA and COLR
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -273 | +221 | 8.5 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | -133 | +111 |
Padres vs. Rockies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Padres 6, Rockies 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Padres 62%, Rockies 38%
Padres vs. Rockies Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 48 out of the 82 games, or 58.5%, in which they've been favored.
- San Diego has played as favorites of -273 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 73.2%.
- The Rockies have won in 39, or 27.3%, of the 143 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Colorado has come away with a win 10 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least +221 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have a 4-6 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total two times.
- The Padres' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Padres Player Insights
- Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .260 with 27 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 84 walks.
- Among all MLB hitters, Tatis ranks 73rd in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage, and 77th in slugging.
- Manny Machado has shown his power as he leads his team with 23 home runs and 84 runs batted in.
- Machado ranks 49th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Arraez leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .285.
- Arraez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two walks and an RBI.
- Ramon Laureano has hit 23 home runs to pace his team.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+131) | - | 0.5 (+172) |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 (-191) | 1.5 (+142) | - | 0.5 (+173) |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+136) |
| Ramon Laureano | 1.5 (+201) | 1.5 (-103) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Manny Machado | 1.5 (+163) | 1.5 (-126) | - | 0.5 (+106) |
Rockies Recent Betting Performance
- The Rockies have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Rockies and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Rockies have one win against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Rockies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 6.28 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Rockies Player Insights
- Hunter Goodman paces the Rockies in home runs (30), runs batted in (87) and has posted a team-best batting average of .280.
- Goodman ranks 13th in homers and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Moniak is hitting .262 with 17 doubles, eight triples, 19 home runs and 21 walks.
- Moniak ranks 76th in homers and 113th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Jordan Beck is batting .267 with 26 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks.
- Brenton Doyle has 21 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .243.
Rockies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+113) | - | 0.5 (+154) |
| Tanner Gordon | - | - | - | - |
| Mickey Moniak | - | - | - | - |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 (-182) | - | - | 0.5 (+296) |
| Orlando Arcia | 0.5 (-111) | - | - | 0.5 (+274) |
Padres vs. Rockies Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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