Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 8

Nick Pivetta will start for the San Diego Padres on Friday against Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at PETCO Park. The Padres are favored in this one, at -173, while the underdog Red Sox have +145 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run total is set for the contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 8, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: SDPA and NESN

Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Red Sox 49%

Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 37, or 59.7%, of the 62 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has entered 17 games this season favored by -173 or more and is 11-6 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 63.4%.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (47.6%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 40.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.300), home runs (20), and RBI (72).
• Machado ranks 31st in homers and 18th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .261 with 19 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 65 walks.
• Tatis ranks 60th in home runs in the majors, and 113th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .291 with 21 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts has 25 doubles, nine home runs and 45 walks while hitting .271.
• Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBIs.

Padres Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .264.
• Among all batters in MLB, Duran's home run total ranks 118th and his RBI tally ranks 33rd.
• Duran has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .264 to lead the lineup.
• Rafaela is currently 93rd in home runs and 77th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Trevor Story has driven in a team-best 73 runs batted in.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 20 long balls.

Red Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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