Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET. Luis Arraez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have been on a tear in recent games for their respective teams. The Diamondbacks have been listed as +119 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Padres (-141). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +155 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 8, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: SDPA and ARID

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Diamondbacks 47%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 28, or 59.6%, of the 47 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego is 18-11 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (48.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious 11 times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 2-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
• The Padres' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.293), home runs (15), and RBI (53).
• Of all batters in baseball, Machado's home run total places him 39th, and his RBI tally ranks him 29th.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown his power as he leads his team with 15 home runs.
• Tatis ranks 39th in homers in MLB, and 86th in RBI.
• Arraez is batting .292 with 17 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 18 walks.
• Arraez will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .450 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Gavin Sheets is hitting .261 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.

Padres Team Props

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Diamondbacks are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Geraldo Perdomo is batting .271 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 53 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .371.
• Perdomo's home run total places him 128th in MLB, and he ranks 12th in RBI.
• Josh Naylor has a club-best .299 batting average.
• Naylor is 87th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 15th in RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (28) and runs batted in (74).
• Corbin Carroll is hitting .250 with 14 doubles, 10 triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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