Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 20

Clay Holmes gets the nod for the New York Mets on Tuesday at Fenway Park against Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Red Sox are +119 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Mets (-141). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this MLB game between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox.

Mets vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 20, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: TBS, NESN, and SNY

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Red Sox 49%

Mets vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 35 games this season and won 23 (65.7%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 23 games this season favored by -141 or more and is 15-8 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Red Sox have come away with six wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Boston has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +119 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 4-3 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Not only does Pete Alonso lead the Mets in hitting with his .301 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with nine home runs and 37 RBI.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Alonso's home run total places him 28th, and his RBI tally puts him eighth.
• Juan Soto has nine doubles, eight home runs and 37 walks while batting .246.
• Soto ranks 40th in homers and 100th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with nine home runs.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .220 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks.

Mets Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 11 homers while recording a team-best batting average of .303.
• Bregman is 13th in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Devers has driven in the most runs for the Red Sox with 38 runs batted in.
• Devers is 28th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 11 long balls.
• Jarren Duran is batting .268 with 11 doubles, six triples, three home runs and 12 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Mets vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this MLB game between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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