Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Updated Apr. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets will send a hot-hitting Brandon Nimmo to the plate against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Connor Joe, who has been on a tear in recent games, when the squads meet on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -112, while the underdog Pirates have -106 odds to win. Pittsburgh is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Pirates 45%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won four of those games.
• New York has a record of 4-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (66.7%) in those contests.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious seven times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 51.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

PIT 1 · NYM 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

-1.5

+165

o7

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-227

u7

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-1 across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-2-0 over their past 10 games (oddsmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has gone yard six times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .254 with 10 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Alonso is fourth in homers and 50th in RBI.
• Nimmo has totaled 13 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Nimmo is 79th in homers in MLB, and 16th in RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .288 with two doubles, two home runs and six walks.
• Marte will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Brett Baty is hitting .316 to lead his team.
• Baty brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, a walk and four RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Pirates had a record of 4-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Pirates have five wins against the spread in their last nine chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has plated a team-high 11 runs batted in.
• Reynolds' home run total places him 79th in the big leagues, and he ranks 37th in RBI.
• Joe's 11 RBI and .288 batting average are both team-highs.
• Joe ranks 138th overall in home runs and 37th in RBI this year.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has five doubles and 12 walks while hitting .277.
• Jack Suwinski is batting .189 with a double, two home runs and eight walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets - 04/16/2024