Mets vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

The New York Mets and Ronny Mauricio will square off against the San Diego Padres and Fernando Tatis Jr. at PETCO Park on Tuesday, with the first pitch at 9:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -129 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Padres +108 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals.

Mets vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY

Mets vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 4, Mets 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Padres 48%

Mets vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 75 times and won 49, or 65.3%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 40 of its 61 games, or 65.6%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Padres have won in 26, or 50%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• San Diego has a win-loss record of 18-21 when favored by +108 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 48.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto leads the Mets with 25 round-trippers on the year. He's also hitting .249 with 62 RBI.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Soto is ninth in homers and 28th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 20 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks while batting .251.
• Lindor is 22nd in homers and 37th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Pete Alonso leads the Mets in runs batted in (81) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .263.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .260 with 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 32 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .261 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Padres have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado leads the Padres with 19 home runs and 66 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .302.
• Machado ranks 28th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Machado takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBIs.
• Tatis is batting .268 with 18 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 58 walks.
• Tatis ranks 47th overall in homers and 94th in RBI this year.
• Luis Arraez is batting .292 with 20 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts has 24 doubles, seven home runs and 43 walks while hitting .270.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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