Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets take the field on Saturday at Citi Field against Cade Cavalli, who is starting for the Washington Nationals. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -283 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +229 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at -132 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and MASN2

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 60%, Nationals 40%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 62 out of the 109 games, or 56.9%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has entered five games this season favored by -283 or more, and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 73.9%.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 135 games this year and have walked away with the win 56 times (41.5%) in those games.
• Washington has been listed as an underdog of +229 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 30.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has left the yard 42 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .265 with 103 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Soto ranks 51st in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
• Soto has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, two home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
• Lindor is hitting .268 with 34 doubles, 27 home runs and 60 walks.
• Lindor is 34th in home runs and 48th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Lindor carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .289 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and two RBIs.
• Pete Alonso leads the Mets in runs batted in (122) and has a team-best batting average of .272.
• Alonso has at least one base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .316 with four home runs, three walks and nine RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .262 with 27 doubles, 24 home runs and 49 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 2-8 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with a .264 batting average.
• Abrams ranks 95th in home runs and 122nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Abrams takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.
• James Wood has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 27 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
• Wood ranks 34th overall in home runs and 26th in RBI this year.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .255 with 28 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
• Josh Bell is hitting .232 with 14 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 55 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

Washington Nationals