Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 10

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets play Josh Bell and the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -149, while the underdog Nationals have +124 odds to upset. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and MASN

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 60%, Nationals 40%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 33, or 68.8%, of the 48 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 20-9, a 69% win rate, when favored by -149 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 59.8% chance to win.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (50%) in those contests.
• This year, Washington has won 16 of 37 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets won all of the six games it played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have covered the spread in all of their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Not only does Alonso lead the Mets in hitting with his .301 average, he also paces the squad with 17 home runs and 61 RBI.
• Alonso's home runs place him eighth in MLB, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .357 with three doubles, six home runs, three walks and 18 RBIs.
• Juan Soto has 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 55 walks while batting .244.
• Among all MLB batters, Soto is 37th in homers and 75th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .283 with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 20 walks while hitting .230.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .227 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Nationals are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood paces the Nationals in home runs (16), runs batted in (45) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .270.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Wood's home run total is 10th and his RBI tally is 10th.
• C.J. Abrams is batting .260 with 12 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 13 walks.
• Abrams ranks 86th in home runs and 172nd in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Luis Garcia is batting .259 with 14 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe is batting .231 with 11 doubles, eight home runs and 22 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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