Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 21

The Washington Nationals and Paul DeJong hit the field against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Thursday, in the final game of a three-game series at Nationals Park. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -134 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +113 moneyline odds to win. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run total has been listed in the game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, August 21, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Nationals 48%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 52 (59.1%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 68 games this season favored by -134 or more and is 39-29 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 109 games this year and have walked away with the win 47 times (43.1%) in those games.
• Washington has a mark of 38-49 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 2-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto leads the Mets with 31 big flies on the year. He's also hitting .249 with 72 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Soto's home run total places him seventh, and his RBI tally ranks him 27th.
• Alonso has a club-best 101 runs batted in and .265 batting average.
• Alonso is 10th in homers and third in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .258 with 26 doubles, 24 home runs and 42 walks.
• Lindor has at least one base hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .381 with four doubles, three home runs, four walks and seven RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .254 with 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 5-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the team in batting average with a mark of .267.
• Abrams is 84th in homers and 117th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• James Wood has hit 25 home runs with 80 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Wood is 19th in home runs and 16th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Luis Garcia has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks while hitting .260.
• Josh Bell is batting .229 with 12 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 48 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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