Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 26

Keibert Ruiz and the Washington Nationals will hit the field on Saturday at Nationals Park against Clay Holmes, who is starting for the New York Mets. First pitch will be at 4:05 p.m. ET. The favored Mets have -185 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +154. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9.5 runs for the contest (with -101 odds to hit the over and -119 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Nationals record triple play against Mets to end the fourth inning

The Washington Nationals recorded a triple play against the New York Mets in the fourth inning.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Nationals 47%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won 14, or 73.7%, of those games.
• New York is 6-2 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (50%) in those games.
• This year, Washington has won one of three games when listed as at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 39.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Peter Morgan Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (six), runs batted in (26) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .333.
• Alonso's home runs place him 19th in MLB, and he is second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has four doubles, five home runs and eight walks while batting .297.
• Lindor is 34th in home runs in MLB, and 47th in RBI.
• Juan Soto is hitting .245 with five doubles, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Soto is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has three doubles, four home runs and seven walks while hitting .208.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood has managed a team-leading eight home runs and has driven in 19 runs.
• In all of the majors, Wood ranks fifth in homers and 15th in RBI.
• Ruiz has a club-leading .310 batting average.
• Ruiz is currently 133rd in homers and 63rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nate Lowe has a team-high 19 runs batted in.
• Luis Garcia is batting .238 with three doubles, a home run and seven walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals' CJ Abrams scores from first base to walk it off against Mets

CJ Abrams scores from first base on James Wood hit that walked it off for the Washington Nationals against the New York Mets

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Washington Nationals

New York Mets