Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 3

David Peterson will start for the New York Mets on Thursday against Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET for this final game in a three-game series. The Mets are listed as -160 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Brewers (+134). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +131 odds). The over/under for the contest is set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Mets Game 2 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets Game 2.

Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and FDSWI

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Brewers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Brewers 48%

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 39, or 63.9%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 20-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Brewers have won in 19, or 45.2%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Milwaukee has won three of eight games when listed as at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 2-4 record over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has racked up a team-high 20 home runs.
• Soto's home runs place him 11th in the majors, and he ranks 40th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has 66 runs batted in while batting .287. Both are team-highs.
• Alonso ranks 16th in home runs and sixth in RBI in the bigs.
• Francisco Lindor has 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .261.
• Brandon Nimmo has 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 25 walks while batting .254.

Mets Team Props

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Brewers have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Jackson Chourio is hitting .253 with 22 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 16 walks.
• In all of MLB, Chourio is 38th in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Yelich has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 17 home runs and 61 runs batted in.
• Yelich ranks 22nd overall in homers and 10th in RBI this season.
• Sal Frelick leads the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .296.
• Brice Turang is batting .288 with 14 doubles, five home runs and 37 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Brewers vs. Mets Game 2 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets Game 2.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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