Mariners vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2025 9:00 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Randy Arozarena and the Seattle Mariners will take on Luis Robert and the Chicago White Sox at T-Mobile Park in the first of a three-game series, on Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET. The favored Mariners have -251 moneyline odds to win against the underdog White Sox, who are listed at +203. Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-White Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and CHSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-251	+203	7.5	-110	-110	-1.5	-113	-107

Mariners vs. White Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 4, White Sox 3
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 56%, White Sox 44%

Mariners vs. White Sox Betting Insights

The Mariners have been favorites in 75 games this season and won 40 (53.3%) of those contests.
Seattle has played as favorites of -251 or more once this season and lost that game.
The Mariners have a 71.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The White Sox have been underdogs in 110 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (37.3%) in those contests.
Chicago has a mark of 1-20 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +203 or worse on the moneyline.
The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 33% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
The Mariners' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	17
ERA	3.13
K/9	8.7

Mariners Player Insights

Cal Raleigh has gone yard 42 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 88 runs, both totals that lead the Mariners.
Raleigh's home runs put him first in MLB, and he ranks third in RBI.
Eugenio Suarez is batting .243 with 20 doubles, 36 home runs and 29 walks.
Suarez ranks fifth in homers and fourth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Josh Naylor leads the Mariners with a .284 batting average.
Julio Rodriguez is hitting .252 with 19 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.
Rodriguez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, two home runs and four RBIs.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+165)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+195)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+155)
Julio Rodríguez	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+100)	-	0.5 (+155)
Bryan Woo	-	-	-	-

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

The White Sox have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the White Sox and their opponents are 5-2-3 when it comes to hitting the over.
The White Sox have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.